Cohven

Conflict and diplomacy. Polymarket Events the Cohort Traded, Page 2

As of Oct 10, 2026, 221 Polymarket events in Conflict and diplomacy have at least two of the 43 wallets tracked by Cohven on the same side. Sorted by the number of wallets, then by notional. Page 2 of 5.

EventWalletsNotionalOutcomesResolved
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by...?9 / 43$49,1222Jan 6, 2026
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?9 / 43$27,9823May 14, 2026
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?9 / 43$24,6322Jul 1, 2025
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?8 / 43$3,041,3662Dec 5, 2024
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?8 / 43$1,579,9613
Israel strikes Iran on...?8 / 43$519,8108Jul 1, 2025
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?8 / 43$378,9152Jul 31, 2025
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?8 / 43$311,0412Apr 1, 2026
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?8 / 43$164,0582Aug 1, 2025
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?8 / 43$152,1132Oct 1, 2025
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?8 / 43$150,6642Jun 15, 2026
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?8 / 43$117,9566Jul 7, 2026
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?8 / 43$115,0532Jan 1, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?8 / 43$88,9022
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?8 / 43$76,7142Oct 9, 2025
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?8 / 43$38,6412Jan 1, 2026
US charges Hormuz fees by...?8 / 43$20,9484
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?8 / 43$14,9532Apr 8, 2026
Kevin Warsh formally nominated as Fed Chair by...?8 / 43$6,4174Mar 4, 2026
Next Country US Strikes7 / 43$2,726,6453Jan 27, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?7 / 43$1,303,1951Jun 23, 2026
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?7 / 43$1,231,1962Nov 19, 2024
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?7 / 43$1,230,7923Jun 8, 2026
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?7 / 43$1,223,6503Apr 9, 2026
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?7 / 43$977,2811Jul 1, 2026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?7 / 43$718,9102Feb 1, 2026
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?7 / 43$525,9012Oct 8, 2024
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?7 / 43$438,6101Jul 3, 2025
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?7 / 43$356,4712
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?7 / 43$226,1662May 1, 2026
US/Israel strikes Iran by...?7 / 43$196,4709Feb 28, 2026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?7 / 43$189,2361Sep 1, 2025
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?7 / 43$185,8731Mar 15, 2025
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?7 / 43$164,4241
Another US strike on Venezuela on...?7 / 43$150,25715Jan 15, 2026
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?7 / 43$112,1152Oct 5, 2025
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?7 / 43$103,0362Jun 1, 2026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?7 / 43$87,6312Dec 1, 2025
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?7 / 43$78,1207
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?7 / 43$76,1892Oct 27, 2025
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?7 / 43$75,4572Jun 13, 2025
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?7 / 43$68,3522Apr 1, 2026
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?7 / 43$66,3802
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?7 / 43$61,4692Feb 28, 2026
US military action against Cuba by...?7 / 43$55,4534
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?7 / 43$54,9412Sep 16, 2025
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?7 / 43$54,6382May 1, 2026
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?7 / 43$49,8432Jul 16, 2025
Russian strike on Poland by...?7 / 43$46,1152Jan 1, 2026
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?7 / 43$31,6542Sep 1, 2025

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Positions come from public on-chain activity of the tracked addresses. Nothing on this page is financial advice.