Cohven

Conflict and diplomacy. Polymarket Events the Cohort Traded, Page 1

As of Oct 11, 2026, 221 Polymarket events in Conflict and diplomacy have at least two of the 43 wallets tracked by Cohven on the same side. Sorted by the number of wallets, then by notional. Page 1 of 5.

EventWalletsNotionalOutcomesResolved
US strikes Iran by...?24 / 43$4,877,20874Feb 28, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire by...?22 / 43$10,428,45920Apr 11, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?22 / 43$9,025,3336May 1, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?22 / 43$3,445,5582
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?20 / 43$1,784,0552May 12, 2026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?19 / 43$1,458,2922Jan 1, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?17 / 43$2,900,9172Jul 7, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?17 / 43$545,2496
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?17 / 43$349,87819Jun 15, 2026
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?16 / 43$4,979,5196Mar 14, 2026
US Announces New Iran Agreementceasefire Extension16 / 43$2,701,63727Jun 18, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?15 / 43$2,109,17931
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?15 / 43$1,890,3722Jun 2, 2026
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?15 / 43$972,9562Jul 1, 2025
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? 14 / 43$4,056,3792Jul 3, 2025
Iran ceasefire continues through...?14 / 43$3,484,90415Jun 2, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?14 / 43$1,633,31514
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?14 / 43$1,286,7032Jul 21, 2026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?14 / 43$704,3202May 9, 2026
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?14 / 43$104,7552Feb 1, 2026
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?13 / 43$1,976,8742Apr 24, 2025
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?13 / 43$1,337,7842Aug 4, 2026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?12 / 43$9,590,7622May 9, 2026
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?12 / 43$4,912,0158Apr 21, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?12 / 43$406,5012Oct 6, 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by...?12 / 43$286,1528
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?12 / 43$113,57311
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?11 / 43$1,145,5964Sep 9, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?11 / 43$419,7422
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?11 / 43$254,3383
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?11 / 43$159,1212Jun 13, 2025
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?11 / 43$158,8869Apr 1, 2026
Iran Strike on Israel by...?11 / 43$126,9504Feb 28, 2026
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?11 / 43$53,9972Oct 9, 2025
Iran strikes Israel on...?10 / 43$2,716,7756Mar 18, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?10 / 43$1,268,2212May 19, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?10 / 43$905,18730
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?10 / 43$753,7472May 1, 2026
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? 10 / 43$249,8372Mar 29, 2025
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?10 / 43$172,9862Oct 1, 2025
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?10 / 43$56,6022Feb 28, 2026
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?10 / 43$48,4942Oct 9, 2025
US announces blockade on Iran by...?10 / 43$38,9884Jul 13, 2026
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?9 / 43$3,136,9881May 10, 2025
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?9 / 43$1,801,4502May 9, 2026
When Will Israel Announce Ceasefire9 / 43$801,7575Oct 13, 2025
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?9 / 43$419,8513Dec 12, 2025
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?9 / 43$391,9792Apr 1, 2026
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?9 / 43$161,4541Jul 1, 2025
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?9 / 43$66,7586Apr 22, 2026

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Positions come from public on-chain activity of the tracked addresses. Nothing on this page is financial advice.