Cohven

Polymarket Wallet Tracker. Every Event the Cohort Traded

As of Oct 15, 2026, Cohven tracks 43 tracked Polymarket wallets and publishes 1661 Polymarket events where at least two of them took the same side. Every position is rebuilt from public on-chain activity on Polygon. This index lists 1661 events where at least two of those wallets took a side; the number of holders is shown on every row. Each page shows the entry price, the position weight, the notional and the resolution, so you can read how the tracked wallets actually traded the market rather than guess from a leaderboard.

Events covered
1,661
Wallets tracked
43
Notional committed
$595,094,393
Trades read
877,535

Events by category

Cohven sorts each group by how many tracked wallets took part.

Elections and politics 340

EventWalletsNotionalOutcomes
New York City Mayoral Election21 / 43$3,927,9676
Brazil Presidential Election19 / 43$1,503,1007
Peru Presidential Election Winner16 / 43$2,378,79817
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?16 / 43$2,373,6845
Next Prime Minister of Hungary16 / 43$1,546,1854
Los Angeles Mayoral Election16 / 43$476,4816
Republican Nominee for Florida Governor15 / 43$1,022,0603
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms15 / 43$786,5544
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner15 / 43$376,8087
Presidential Election Winner 202815 / 43$137,73516
Portugal Presidential Election14 / 43$1,550,6539
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner14 / 43$197,2396
California Governor Election Winner14 / 43$152,0966
Presidential Election Winner 202413 / 43$5,233,4649
Next President of South Korea13 / 43$3,889,2103
Clacton by Election Winner13 / 43$955,8193
Texas Democratic Senate Primary Winner13 / 43$689,9764
2nd Place in New York City Mayoral Election13 / 43$650,5825
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?13 / 43$461,2425
Bolivia Presidential Election13 / 43$434,0227
Texas Senate Election Winner13 / 43$216,6544
Next Prime Minister of Sweden13 / 43$177,6644
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?13 / 43$123,05010
Republican Presidential Nominee 202813 / 43$92,8639
Who will be inaugurated as President? 12 / 43$3,557,7975
Romania Presidential Election Winner12 / 43$1,410,3886
New Jersey Governor Election Winner 202512 / 43$636,7324
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner12 / 43$373,7444
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner12 / 43$295,0744
Maine Senate Election Winner12 / 43$141,7124

All 340 events in Elections and politics →

Conflict and diplomacy 221

EventWalletsNotionalOutcomes
US strikes Iran by...?24 / 43$4,877,20874
US x Iran ceasefire by...?22 / 43$10,428,45920
US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?22 / 43$9,025,3336
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?22 / 43$3,476,7782
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?20 / 43$1,784,0552
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?19 / 43$1,458,2922
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?17 / 43$2,900,9172
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?17 / 43$545,2496
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?17 / 43$349,87819
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?16 / 43$4,979,5196
US Announces New Iran Agreementceasefire Extension16 / 43$2,701,63727
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?15 / 43$2,159,47332
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?15 / 43$1,890,3722
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?15 / 43$972,9562
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? 14 / 43$4,056,3792
Iran ceasefire continues through...?14 / 43$3,484,90415
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?14 / 43$1,636,08214
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?14 / 43$1,286,7032
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?14 / 43$704,3202
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?14 / 43$104,7552
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?13 / 43$1,976,8742
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?13 / 43$1,337,7842
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?12 / 43$9,590,7622
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?12 / 43$4,912,0158
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?12 / 43$406,5012
NATO x Russia military clash by...?12 / 43$286,1528
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?12 / 43$113,57311
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?11 / 43$1,145,5964
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?11 / 43$435,9522
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?11 / 43$254,3383

All 221 events in Conflict and diplomacy →

Crypto 64

EventWalletsNotionalOutcomes
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?12 / 43$1,619,2862
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by ___?12 / 43$796,4202
Which Crypto Company Will Zachxbt Expose for Insider Trading12 / 43$189,50714
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?10 / 43$392,0015
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?9 / 43$312,5212
What price will Bitcoin hit in February?9 / 43$187,4774
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?9 / 43$178,1682
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?8 / 43$805,18610
MegaETH public sale total commitments?8 / 43$185,9656
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?7 / 43$196,0861
What price will Bitcoin hit in May?7 / 43$149,6394
What price will Ethereum hit in December?7 / 43$17,6842
What will Netflix say during their next earnings call?6 / 43$431,1791
What price will Bitcoin hit in January?6 / 43$292,6816
What price will Ethereum hit in 2025?6 / 43$217,6355
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?6 / 43$162,4512
What price will Bitcoin hit in December?6 / 43$67,0195
What Price Will Bitcoin Hit in August 20266 / 43$54,8532
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?6 / 43$39,2202
What Price Will Bitcoin Hit in June 20266 / 43$27,7532
What price will Bitcoin hit in May?5 / 43$319,4692
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?5 / 43$251,4763
What price will Bitcoin hit by March 31?5 / 43$249,5455
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?5 / 43$74,3141
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?5 / 43$35,9012
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?5 / 43$35,0185
Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve in first week?5 / 43$26,8471
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?5 / 43$18,8282
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?5 / 43$15,7211
Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?5 / 43$8,7942

All 64 events in Crypto →

Culture and sport 72

EventWalletsNotionalOutcomes
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? 15 / 43$3,455,72910
Epstein blackmail evidence released by...? 15 / 43$586,6264
Time 2025 Person of the Year14 / 43$856,28417
Highest Grossing Movie in 202514 / 43$710,5999
Who will be named in newly released Epstein files in 2025?12 / 43$704,32513
Epstein client list released by...?12 / 43$62,0874
GPT-5 released by…?11 / 43$152,83910
Winter Games 2026 Most Gold Medals11 / 43$65,6338
Epstein suicide note released by...?10 / 43$173,5924
GPT-6 released by…?10 / 43$167,43913
Claude 5 released by…?9 / 43$336,09815
Will GameStop acquire eBay?9 / 43$308,5931
Oscars 2026 Best Picture Winner9 / 43$29,9554
Oscars 2026 Best Actor Winner9 / 43$22,8815
Gemini 3.0 released by...?8 / 43$504,87911
GPT-5.6 released by...?8 / 43$211,30015
What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?8 / 43$157,8763
Claude Mythos released by…?8 / 43$123,1668
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?8 / 43$49,6149
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?7 / 43$132,62614
Top Spotify Artist 20257 / 43$126,1234
GPT-5.5 released on...?7 / 43$93,4405
GPT-5.5 released by...?7 / 43$85,8657
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by...?7 / 43$57,7426
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?7 / 43$36,2552
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?7 / 43$28,2502
What day will GPT-5 be released…?7 / 43$17,1732
Grok 4.20 released by...?7 / 43$4,5296
Which artists will release new albums in 2025?6 / 43$505,5542
Which Movie Has Best Opening Weekend in 20256 / 43$79,3402

All 72 events in Culture and sport →

Everything else 882

EventWalletsNotionalOutcomes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?27 / 43$7,596,83428
US forces enter Iran by..?23 / 43$11,310,8459
Netanyahu out by...?22 / 43$7,942,5738
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?22 / 43$7,007,8732
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?22 / 43$4,806,13925
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?22 / 43$2,149,89415
Will Trump release Epstein files by...? 21 / 43$5,123,1989
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?21 / 43$3,884,8878
World Cup Winner 20 / 43$2,514,34131
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 202619 / 43$533,29213
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?18 / 43$7,811,2502
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?18 / 43$5,431,9742
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?18 / 43$2,071,1072
Maduro out by...?18 / 43$1,661,94412
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?18 / 43$1,492,8372
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?18 / 43$375,5212
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?17 / 43$2,528,3558
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?17 / 43$1,860,4972
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?17 / 43$1,490,7292
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?17 / 43$960,3202
Starmer out by...?17 / 43$592,15017
Who will die in Stranger Things: Season 5?16 / 43$6,433,7549
Iran closes its airspace by...?16 / 43$2,336,44222
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?16 / 43$878,3182
Iran leadership change by...?16 / 43$737,99317
Nobel Peace Prize 202515 / 43$1,327,1143
TikTok sale announced by...?15 / 43$1,045,0158
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?15 / 43$502,57332
Who Will Be Next Supreme Leader of Iran15 / 43$235,8099
What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? 14 / 43$3,022,3088

All 882 events in Everything else →

How the cohort works

Cohven works as a Polymarket whale tracker. It watches a cohort of consistently tracked addresses, reads their public activity on Polygon, and rebuilds equity, entry price, position weight and verified P&L for every wallet. You see the positions, you place your own orders. Cohven never touches your funds and never holds a key, so nothing here behaves like a copy trading bot.

Why a cohort beats one whale

A single tracked wallet can win on luck. Any Polymarket whale tracker that mirrors one address hands you that wallet's variance along with its edge. Cohven waits for agreement instead. When several tracked wallets stand on the same YES or NO outcome, that agreement reaches quorum and the position counts as a consensus trade. Smart money on Polymarket looks obvious in hindsight. Quorum is how you spot it while the market still trades.

Position weight, not raw dollars

A $20,000 position means one thing inside a $700,000 wallet and something else inside a $50,000 wallet. Cohven measures every position as a share of its owner's equity, and that share is the position weight. That number lets Cohven resize any cohort trade to your account, in shares and in dollars, whatever your bankroll.

The Gap

The Gap lists the difference between your portfolio and the cohort, row by row. It shows which consensus positions you already hold, which you hold too small, and which you miss completely. Cohven prices each row against the live order book, so the number you read matches the number you would pay.

Questions traders ask

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Can you see other people's positions on Polymarket?

Yes. Polymarket settles on Polygon and every trade lands on a public ledger, so anyone can read the positions of any address. Cohven does that reading at scale for a curated cohort and turns it into entry price, implied probability, position weight and verified P&L.

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Does copy trading on Polymarket work?

Copying one wallet inherits the variance of that wallet. A single whale can run a losing streak for months while the long run ROI still looks strong. Cohven answers a narrower question. It shows where several tracked wallets agree, and agreement carries a better base rate than any single address.

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Is it legal to track Polymarket wallets?

Reading a public blockchain breaks no rule. Cohven publishes no private data, asks for no Polymarket credentials and requests no permission over your account.

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How does Cohven differ from a Polymarket copy trading bot?

A copy bot needs your keys and fires orders on your behalf. Cohven stays read-only. It shows the cohort, the quorum and the Gap, then you decide what to place and at what size.

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Does Cohven touch my funds?

No. Cohven is non-custodial. It holds no keys, no balance and no order permissions, and it never routes a trade for you.

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What counts as a Polymarket whale?

Traders use the word for any address carrying a large notional. Cohven cares less about size and more about a verified record, so the leaderboard ranks the cohort by on-chain P&L and hit rate rather than by balance alone.

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How do I find Polymarket wallets with a public, verifiable record?

You can read the Polymarket leaderboard and check each address on-chain by hand. Cohven skips that work. It maintains the cohort, refreshes P&L daily and ranks the best Polymarket traders by verified result.

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How much does Cohven cost?

Every new account starts with seven days of the full cohort free, no card. After that you have 60 hours to pick a plan from $29 a month, paid in USDC.

See the cohort live

The cohort trades every day. Open the tracker to watch consensus form, read the Gap against your own portfolio and size each position to your account.

Show me the cohort

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Positions come from public on-chain activity of the tracked addresses. Nothing on this page is financial advice.