Polymarket Wallet Tracker. Every Event the Cohort Traded

Cohven tracks 19 profitable Polymarket wallets and rebuilds every position from public on-chain activity on Polygon. This index lists 765 events where at least three of those wallets took a side. Each page shows the entry price, the position weight, the notional and the resolution, so you can read how smart money on Polymarket actually traded the market rather than guess from a leaderboard.

Events covered

765

Wallets tracked

Notional committed

$221,846,934

Trades read

324,419

Events by category

Cohven sorts each group by how many tracked wallets took part.

Elections and politics 189

Event	Wallets	Notional	Outcomes
Peru Presidential Election Winner	16 / 19	$1,865,169	14
New York City Mayoral Election	15 / 19	$3,518,047	6
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner	15 / 19	$371,563	8
Los Angeles Mayoral Election	13 / 19	$504,734	5
Bolivia Presidential Election	13 / 19	$433,634	7
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner	13 / 19	$377,161	4
Next Prime Minister of Hungary	12 / 19	$759,579	2
Clacton by-election Winner	12 / 19	$755,341	3
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?	12 / 19	$349,388	4
Will Grahm Platner Drop Out Before the Midterms	12 / 19	$89,671	9
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner	11 / 19	$1,064,861	3
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner	11 / 19	$170,472	6
Next president of South Korea?	10 / 19	$2,629,451	3
Portugal Presidential Election	10 / 19	$1,402,381	8
Romania Presidential Election Winner	10 / 19	$1,158,657	6
New Jersey Governor Election Winner 2025	10 / 19	$618,318	4
Brazil Presidential Election	10 / 19	$347,724	3
2nd Place in New York City Mayoral Election	10 / 19	$306,707	6
Ky 04 Republican Primary Winner	10 / 19	$182,020	3
Zohran Mamdani Margin of Victory in 2025 New York City Mayoral Election	10 / 19	$132,058	6
California Governor Election Winner	10 / 19	$75,316	4
Colombia Presidential Election	9 / 19	$621,944	4
Texas Democratic Senate Primary Winner	9 / 19	$450,485	4
Honduras Presidential Election	9 / 19	$229,823	6
Mi 13 Democratic Primary Winner	9 / 19	$152,882	4
Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory	8 / 19	$756,765	5
Wisconsin Supreme Court Election Susan Crawford vs Brad Schimel	8 / 19	$253,520	1
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	8 / 19	$230,974	3
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner	8 / 19	$228,128	5
Will Mamdani Get Over 50 of the Vote in the General Mayoral Election	8 / 19	$79,686	2
Presidential Election Winner 2028	8 / 19	$68,996	3
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner	8 / 19	$48,796	2
Bolivia Presidential Election 1st round winner?	8 / 19	$47,907	3
LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?	8 / 19	$34,007	4
Presidential Election Winner 2024	7 / 19	$1,715,188	7
Germany Parliamentary Election	7 / 19	$1,279,718	2
Presidential Election Popular Vote Winner 2024	7 / 19	$1,147,134	6
Poland Presidential Election	7 / 19	$894,260	4
Makerfield by Election Winner	7 / 19	$597,310	3
Next Prime Minister of Norway	7 / 19	$414,952	2
Netherlands Parliamentary Election	7 / 19	$407,080	7
Which party will win the House in 2026?	7 / 19	$331,026	2
Will South Korea Presidential Election Winner Get Over 50 of Votes	7 / 19	$158,441	2
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner	7 / 19	$101,222	2
Virginia Attorney General Election Winner 2025	7 / 19	$75,501	4
Maine Senate Election Winner	7 / 19	$72,575	2
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028	7 / 19	$65,735	2
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place	7 / 19	$56,639	7
James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?	7 / 19	$55,753	5
Michigan Senate Election Winner	7 / 19	$41,277	3
Ireland Presidential Election	7 / 19	$32,444	3
Virginia Governor Election Margin of Victory	7 / 19	$17,150	6
Who will be inaugurated as President?	6 / 19	$1,100,541	2
Which Senators will vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?	6 / 19	$377,123	6
Norway Parliamentary Election Winner	6 / 19	$360,760	3
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?	6 / 19	$349,475	1
Will Dan or Simion Win the Diaspora Vote	6 / 19	$187,149	1
Will Assad Remain President of Syria Through 2024	6 / 19	$157,729	2
LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?	6 / 19	$100,361	2
(Old) Romania Election	6 / 19	$97,899	6
Chile Presidential Election	6 / 19	$92,693	6
Zelenskyy Out as Ukraine President Before July	6 / 19	$89,013	1
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	6 / 19	$86,473	13
Romania Bucharest Mayoral Election	6 / 19	$83,530	5
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?	6 / 19	$46,653	5
Will Elon Musk Create a New Political Party	6 / 19	$46,582	5
Rhineland Palatinate Parliamentary Election Winner	6 / 19	$45,581	2
Mo 01 Democratic Primary Winner	6 / 19	$24,035	4
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?	6 / 19	$18,474	3
Minneapolis Mayoral Election	6 / 19	$14,750	4
Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner	6 / 19	$7,133	2
Will Trump Launch a Coin Before the Election	5 / 19	$600,259	2
Will Biden Complete His Term as President	5 / 19	$594,441	1
Afd of Vote in German Election	5 / 19	$536,895	4
Arizona Presidential Election Winner	5 / 19	$325,088	4
Paris Mayoral Election	5 / 19	$288,894	4
US Presidential Election Certified on January	5 / 19	$262,235	1
Which Party Wins Most Seats in Canadian Election	5 / 19	$253,205	2
NYC Mayor Dem Primary 1st Round Winner	5 / 19	$181,044	4
Yoon Out as President of South Korea Before April	5 / 19	$172,044	2
Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner	5 / 19	$145,888	3
Popular Vote Margin of Victory in Presidential Election	5 / 19	$124,659	5
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?	5 / 19	$117,807	4
Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner	5 / 19	$102,079	3
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	5 / 19	$82,656	1
Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory Second Round	5 / 19	$57,106	4
Who Will Qualify for the Second Round of the Portugal Presidential Election	5 / 19	$55,445	3
Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner	5 / 19	$50,141	2
New Jersey Governor Election Margin of Victory	5 / 19	$45,077	5
Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands	5 / 19	$33,059	2
Which Party Wins 2nd Most Seats in Netherlands Election	5 / 19	$26,718	5
Tennessee House Special Election	5 / 19	$26,185	4
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final	5 / 19	$23,567	1
Texas Senate Election Winner	5 / 19	$19,349	2
Electoral College Margin of Victory in the 2024 Presidential Election	5 / 19	$17,722	5
Lee Jae-myung % of vote in South Korea Election?	5 / 19	$13,434	2
Alaska Senate Election Winner	5 / 19	$9,306	3
Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place	5 / 19	$8,325	2
Turnout in 2025 Canadian Federal Election	5 / 19	$7,275	2
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election	5 / 19	$5,867	4
What will Trump say during events with Turkish president on September 25?	5 / 19	$2,547	3
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	5 / 19	$2,247	2
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place	5 / 19	$1,055	3
Arizona US Senate Election Winner	4 / 19	$1,304,189	2
Trump Out as President by April	4 / 19	$517,541	1
Will the Conservative Party Win a Majority in Next Canadian Election	4 / 19	$501,531	1
Which Party Wins Presidency Popular Vote	4 / 19	$258,700	5
Trump out as President before 2027?	4 / 19	$249,838	2
Texas Presidential Election Winner	4 / 19	$231,602	3
Yoon Out as President of South Korea Before May	4 / 19	$191,842	2
Will Microsoft Shareholders Vote for Bitcoin Investment	4 / 19	$180,023	1
Will 2 of Votes Go to 3rd Party Candidates in US Election	4 / 19	$175,657	2
Virginia Presidential Election Winner	4 / 19	$152,793	3
Thai Legislative Election Winner	4 / 19	$113,656	4
Who Will Win the Most Seats in the 2026 Baden Wrttemberg Parliamentary Elections	4 / 19	$98,651	3
Poland Presidential Election Margin of Victory	4 / 19	$91,204	6
Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner	4 / 19	$75,711	3
Portugal Presidential Election 1st Round Winner	4 / 19	$69,243	4
Balance of Power 2024 Election	4 / 19	$55,033	3
Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner	4 / 19	$54,649	2
Liberals Win Majority in Canadian Election	4 / 19	$53,859	2
NYC Mayoral Dem Primary MOV	4 / 19	$44,558	2
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	4 / 19	$40,732	1
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner	4 / 19	$38,308	3
People Power Party Ppp Presidential Candidate	4 / 19	$37,658	2
Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory	4 / 19	$31,763	4
Colorado Governor Democratic Primary Winner	4 / 19	$29,696	2
Hungary Election Tisza Wins at Least Seats	4 / 19	$26,721	2
Next President of Suriname	4 / 19	$25,764	1
Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?	4 / 19	$25,744	5
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory	4 / 19	$23,884	2
Next Prime Minister of Denmark After Parliamentary Election	4 / 19	$23,833	3
Will Trump Go on Rogan Before Election	4 / 19	$23,552	2
Which Party Holds the Most Seats After Argentina Deputies Election	4 / 19	$18,862	3
Which Party Wins 3rd Most Seats in Canadian Election	4 / 19	$18,829	3
Will Lisa Cook Vote at the Next Fomc Meeting	4 / 19	$18,743	1
Gorton and Denton by Election Winner	4 / 19	$18,572	3
Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?	4 / 19	$16,996	2
West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner	4 / 19	$16,509	3
Iowa Senate Election Winner	4 / 19	$16,155	4
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?	4 / 19	$15,474	3
Clacton by-election: 2nd place	4 / 19	$13,896	2
Seattle Mayoral Election	4 / 19	$13,835	2
South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner	4 / 19	$12,551	1
Zohran Mamdani % of vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	4 / 19	$10,629	4
Michel Barnier Out as Prime Minister of France in 2024	4 / 19	$9,038	2
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	4 / 19	$5,832	1
Democratic Nominee 2024	3 / 19	$827,829	3
Florida Presidential Election Winner	3 / 19	$291,648	2
Trump Out as President in 2025	3 / 19	$198,690	1
Virginia Governor Election Winner	3 / 19	$149,908	2
Democratic Vp Nominee	3 / 19	$140,563	7
Which Senators will vote to confirm RFK Jr.?	3 / 19	$95,251	3
North Carolina Presidential Election Winner	3 / 19	$89,554	2
How many Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?	3 / 19	$79,239	2
Montana US Senate Election Winner	3 / 19	$76,997	2
Will Biden Drop Out of Presidential Race	3 / 19	$69,994	2
What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?	3 / 19	$40,810	1
California Governor Primary Election: First Place	3 / 19	$39,179	2
Nebraska US Senate Election Winner	3 / 19	$39,073	2
Yoon Reinstated as President Before July	3 / 19	$37,897	1
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	3 / 19	$35,516	1
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner	3 / 19	$34,993	1
Nevada Presidential Election Winner	3 / 19	$32,001	2
Yoon Out as President of South Korea in 2025	3 / 19	$26,494	1
Tamas Sulyok Out as President of Hungary by June	3 / 19	$25,905	1
Georgia Senate Election Winner	3 / 19	$24,635	2
Which candidates will advance in Romanian Election 1st round?	3 / 19	$21,525	1
Popular Vote Margin of Victory 0.25 Ranges	3 / 19	$19,928	2
Malawi Presidential Election	3 / 19	$17,447	3
LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?	3 / 19	$15,243	2
Zelenskyy Out as Ukraine President by December	3 / 19	$14,962	1
Which Party wins most seats in Ontario?	3 / 19	$14,625	1
How many Constitutional Court justices will vote for Yoon's impeachment?	3 / 19	$13,481	2
Georgia Presidential Election Winner	3 / 19	$11,999	2
Will Any Democratic Senator Vote to Confirm Rfk Jr	3 / 19	$11,993	1
Michigan US Senate Election Winner	3 / 19	$11,696	2
Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner	3 / 19	$11,248	1
Poland Presidential Election 1st Round Winner	3 / 19	$10,213	2
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %	3 / 19	$9,393	3
Assad Out as President of Syria by March 31 2025	3 / 19	$9,336	2
Will Trzaskowski or Nawrocki Win the Diaspora Vote	3 / 19	$9,331	1
Next Prime Minister of Slovenia	3 / 19	$7,878	1
Next Senate Majority Leader?	3 / 19	$7,856	2
Which Party Wins Nunavut	3 / 19	$6,822	2
Ohio US Senate Election Winner	3 / 19	$6,304	3
Next Prime Minister of Sweden	3 / 19	$5,529	1
Ohio Senate Election Winner	3 / 19	$5,367	2
LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?	3 / 19	$5,316	3

Conflict and diplomacy 123

Event	Wallets	Notional	Outcomes
US strikes Iran by...?	16 / 19	$2,753,994	52
US x Iran ceasefire by...?	15 / 19	$4,148,266	16
US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?	14 / 19	$1,563,062	4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	14 / 19	$1,374,444	2
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?	13 / 19	$556,275	5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?	12 / 19	$1,299,415	4
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by End of June	12 / 19	$1,170,935	2
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by April	12 / 19	$1,124,512	2
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire in 2025	12 / 19	$851,787	2
Iran Ceasefire Continues Through	11 / 19	$277,089	10
Fordow Nuclear Facility Destroyed Before July	10 / 19	$978,858	2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?	10 / 19	$720,350	14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?	10 / 19	$363,044	17
Israel X Hezbollah Ceasefire	9 / 19	$959,816	7
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by End of May	9 / 19	$726,185	2
Israel X Iran Ceasefire Before July	9 / 19	$585,219	2
Thailand Strikes Cambodia by Friday	9 / 19	$507,341	2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?	9 / 19	$433,493	4
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?	9 / 19	$88,663	12
Trump Wins Ends Ukraine War in 90 Days	8 / 19	$680,950	2
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by May	8 / 19	$539,231	2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?	8 / 19	$251,095	12
Iran Strike on Israel by Friday	8 / 19	$231,365	2
Israel Strikes Iran by January 31 2026	8 / 19	$68,399	2
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by October	8 / 19	$61,819	2
US Iran Nuclear Deal Before July	8 / 19	$18,463	2
Iran strikes Israel on...?	7 / 19	$1,278,713	6
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire Before 2027	7 / 19	$727,739	1
Will Israel Invade Syria in 2024	7 / 19	$654,853	2
Pakistan Military Strike on India by Friday	7 / 19	$610,269	1
When will Israel announce ceasefire?	7 / 19	$295,038	3
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by July	7 / 19	$194,528	2
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire Before October	7 / 19	$171,218	2
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by September	7 / 19	$102,160	1
Will Iran Close the Strait of Hormuz Before July	7 / 19	$66,357	1
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by October	7 / 19	$47,954	2
Trump Invokes War Powers Against Venezuela	7 / 19	$41,902	2
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?	7 / 19	$41,663	3
Israel strikes Iran on...?	7 / 19	$7,783	4
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire by May 31 2026	6 / 19	$9,282,765	2
Israel X Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024	6 / 19	$1,423,615	2
Israel Strike on Iranian Nuclear Facility in 2024	6 / 19	$1,133,793	2
Israel Announces Lebanon Ceasefire Extension	6 / 19	$536,332	3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?	6 / 19	$466,489	2
Next Country US Strikes	6 / 19	$419,881	2
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by July	6 / 19	$356,519	2
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by June	6 / 19	$344,152	2
Will France UK or Germany Strike Iran by March	6 / 19	$342,739	1
Energy Infrastructure Ceasefire in Ukraine in March	6 / 19	$178,474	2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	6 / 19	$171,376	1
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday	6 / 19	$153,673	1
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?	6 / 19	$129,955	7
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire Before August	6 / 19	$113,430	2
US Iran Nuclear Deal by June	6 / 19	$98,476	2
NATO x Russia military clash by...?	6 / 19	$63,133	2
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by September	6 / 19	$49,672	2
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?	6 / 19	$42,791	1
Will another country take military action against Iran by...?	6 / 19	$37,529	2
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire Before 2026	6 / 19	$31,207	2
Iran Strike on Israel by...?	6 / 19	$24,477	2
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by August	6 / 19	$19,098	2
Kevin Warsh formally nominated as Fed Chair by...?	6 / 19	$5,979	3
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire by June 30 2026	5 / 19	$747,973	1
Will Israel Invade Lebanon in September	5 / 19	$295,573	1
Will the United States Officially Declare War on Iran Before July	5 / 19	$192,176	1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?	5 / 19	$170,127	5
Trump Strikes Another Drug Boat by Sep	5 / 19	$124,136	2
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?	5 / 19	$118,931	2
Another US Strike on Venezuela	5 / 19	$118,398	7
Will Iran Close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025	5 / 19	$99,625	1
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?	5 / 19	$96,866	1
Will Ships Transit the Strait of Hormuz on Any Day by June	5 / 19	$96,409	4
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire by Next Friday Mar	5 / 19	$80,048	1
Israel X Hezbollah Ceasefire Extended	5 / 19	$79,634	2
US/Israel strikes Iran by...?	5 / 19	$79,043	5
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire in 2024	5 / 19	$73,393	2
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	5 / 19	$48,273	2
Will US or Israel Strike Iran First	5 / 19	$30,505	1
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by July	5 / 19	$25,936	2
US announces blockade on Iran by...?	5 / 19	$24,464	2
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...?	5 / 19	$19,681	2
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?	5 / 19	$14,803	3
Trump Announces Hormuz Deadline Extension Today	5 / 19	$11,978	2
US X Iran Nuclear Deal in 2025	5 / 19	$11,585	2
Will Israel Declare War on Iran by Next Friday	5 / 19	$10,140	1
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?	5 / 19	$8,641	1
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?	5 / 19	$8,077	1
Another US Strike on Venezuela	5 / 19	$7,698	2
Israel X Iran Ceasefire Before July	5 / 19	$2,150	2
US next strikes Iran on...?	5 / 19	$1,889	1
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by January	4 / 19	$291,871	1
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?	4 / 19	$204,207	3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4 / 19	$101,187	1
US Iran Nuclear Deal Before August	4 / 19	$55,995	1
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire Before July 2025	4 / 19	$45,291	2
Will Trump Sanction Russia	4 / 19	$44,001	1
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire Before July	4 / 19	$42,142	1
Will the US Invade Iran by March	4 / 19	$41,155	2
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?	4 / 19	$38,381	3
US Iran Nuclear Deal by May	4 / 19	$25,260	1
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?	4 / 19	$10,198	2
Israel Strikes Iran by March 31 2026	4 / 19	$5,743	1
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire by January 31 2026	3 / 19	$415,862	1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?	3 / 19	$148,784	1
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire Before June	3 / 19	$147,003	2
Will India Invade Pakistan Before June	3 / 19	$73,961	1
Next Country US Strikes	3 / 19	$66,195	5
Another Iran Strike on Israel in October	3 / 19	$64,410	1
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by August	3 / 19	$45,881	2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?	3 / 19	$28,747	1
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	3 / 19	$28,565	1
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3 / 19	$27,386	1
Russian strike on Poland by...?	3 / 19	$27,050	1
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire by April 30 2026	3 / 19	$26,316	2
US strike on Mexico by...?	3 / 19	$20,690	4
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire Before June 2025	3 / 19	$19,567	2
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire by August	3 / 19	$19,497	1
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?	3 / 19	$10,085	2
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?	3 / 19	$7,587	5
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by October	3 / 19	$7,543	1
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?	3 / 19	$6,235	3
US Iran Nuclear Deal Before 2027	3 / 19	$5,351	1
Will Israel Invade Lebanon Before September	3 / 19	$5,260	1

Economy and the Fed 43

Event	Wallets	Notional	Outcomes
Who Will Trump Nominate as Fed Chair	16 / 19	$6,686,973	19
Microstrategy Sell Any Bitcoin in 2025	14 / 19	$2,712,329	4
Will There Be Another US Government Shutdown by January	14 / 19	$2,064,949	2
Fed Decision in July	14 / 19	$1,155,693	5
US Government Shutdown by October	11 / 19	$454,560	2
How long will the Government Shutdown last?	11 / 19	$232,834	10
Another US Government Shutdown by February	11 / 19	$203,995	2
Fed Decision in January	10 / 19	$1,524,005	3
Fed Decision in September	10 / 19	$1,523,485	5
Fed Decision in December	10 / 19	$1,186,766	5
Fed Decision in July	9 / 19	$882,354	3
What day will the Government Shutdown end?	9 / 19	$364,388	3
Fed Decision in June	8 / 19	$1,394,246	2
Fed Decision in October	8 / 19	$437,133	5
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?	8 / 19	$74,780	3
US Government Shutdown Before 2025	7 / 19	$1,981,921	2
Fed Decision in March	7 / 19	$926,164	1
Fed Decision in March	7 / 19	$789,418	2
When will the Government shutdown end?	7 / 19	$232,161	5
Who Will Be Confirmed as Fed Chair	7 / 19	$225,402	3
US Government Shutdown in 2025	7 / 19	$45,529	2
Who Will Trump Announce as Next Fed Chair	7 / 19	$16,938	3
Fed Interest Rates January 2025	6 / 19	$757,817	2
US Recession in 2025	6 / 19	$44,997	2
Jerome Powell Out as Fed Chair	6 / 19	$20,397	4
Fed Decision in September?	5 / 19	$161,020	4
How many Fed rate cuts in 2025?	5 / 19	$4,696	4
Trump Imposes Tariff on Semiconductors by December	5 / 19	$2,589	2
Will the Government shutdown end by...?	4 / 19	$171,324	3
Will Microstrategy Hold 500k BTC Before March	4 / 19	$21,388	1
Will Ghislaine Maxwell Cut a Deal With the Feds by August	4 / 19	$21,278	1
Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with before August?	4 / 19	$21,168	7
How many days will the federal government be shut down in 2025?	4 / 19	$10,142	2
Which countries will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for by Feb 1?	4 / 19	$6,381	8
Fed Decision in May 2025	3 / 19	$509,391	2
Fed Interest Rates September 2024	3 / 19	$283,006	1
Fed rate cut by...?	3 / 19	$204,144	1
Fed Interest Rates December 2024	3 / 19	$128,304	2
When will the Government shutdown end?	3 / 19	$95,943	2
Fed Rate Cut	3 / 19	$35,115	1
Will Microstrategy Hold 600k BTC Before June	3 / 19	$22,115	1
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?	3 / 19	$8,615	2
How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?	3 / 19	$7,022	1

Crypto 20

Event	Wallets	Notional	Outcomes
Will Trump Create a National Bitcoin Reserve in His First 100 Days	8 / 19	$817,447	2
Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading?	7 / 19	$120,058	4
MegaETH public sale total commitments?	7 / 19	$112,068	6
Trump Putin and Zelensky Meet Together by August	7 / 19	$91,857	2
Will Kanye Launch a Coin in February	6 / 19	$439,441	2
Earnings Mentions Netflix 2026	6 / 19	$384,687	1
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?	5 / 19	$399,971	4
Will Satoshi Move Any Bitcoin in 2025	5 / 19	$315,289	1
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?	5 / 19	$253,001	1
What price will Bitcoin hit in February?	5 / 19	$195,185	3
What price will Bitcoin hit in December?	4 / 19	$170,475	2
Pete Hegseth Out as Secretary of Defense Before July	4 / 19	$29,657	1
What price will Ethereum hit in June?	3 / 19	$209,276	4
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?	3 / 19	$166,198	1
Ethereum All Time High Wen	3 / 19	$129,632	3
Ethereum All Time High by March	3 / 19	$101,219	1
What price will Bitcoin hit by March 31?	3 / 19	$96,960	3
What price will Ethereum hit in February?	3 / 19	$37,972	1
US National Bitcoin Reserve in 2025	3 / 19	$29,327	2
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?	3 / 19	$10,717	1

Culture and sport 35

Event	Wallets	Notional	Outcomes
Epstein Blackmail Files Released in 2025	12 / 19	$460,782	4
Highest Grossing Movie in 2025	10 / 19	$886,483	6
Epstein Client List Released in 2025	10 / 19	$54,523	4
Time 2025 Person of the Year	9 / 19	$401,346	10
GPT-5 released by…?	9 / 19	$202,364	11
Who will be named in newly released Epstein files in 2025?	9 / 19	$183,967	8
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?	8 / 19	$547,203	2
What Day Will GPT 5 Be Released	8 / 19	$45,634	1
Avatar Fire and Ash Opening Weekend Box Office	7 / 19	$642,650	8
What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?	7 / 19	$256,219	2
Superman Opening Weekend Box Office	7 / 19	$66,379	4
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner	7 / 19	$22,349	3
Winter Games 2026: Most Gold Medals	6 / 19	$134,640	1
Top Spotify Artist 2025	6 / 19	$122,176	4
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner	6 / 19	$13,468	1
Gemini 3.0 Released	5 / 19	$512,122	8
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	5 / 19	$344,604	1
Epstein suicide note released by...?	5 / 19	$131,584	3
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2025?	5 / 19	$112,631	2
Which artists will release new albums in 2025?	5 / 19	$102,542	2
Claude Mythos Released	5 / 19	$100,244	9
Gemini 3.0 Flash Released by December	5 / 19	$65,564	6
Wicked for Good Opening Weekend Box Office	5 / 19	$32,106	5
GPT 5.3 Released by February	4 / 19	$420,912	4
Claude 5 released by…?	4 / 19	$250,707	11
Lilo Stitch Opening Weekend Box Office	4 / 19	$111,471	5
GPT-5.6 released by...?	4 / 19	$67,370	5
Third Highest Grossing Movie in 2025	4 / 19	$8,141	1
Mufasa vs Sonic 3 Opening Weekend Box Office	3 / 19	$77,605	1
Will Apple Vision Pro 2 Be Released by December	3 / 19	$62,419	1
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie Opening Weekend Box Office	3 / 19	$41,966	5
Maduro Mugshot Released by Monday	3 / 19	$26,695	3
"Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office	3 / 19	$25,057	4
Zootopia 2 5 Day Opening Box Office	3 / 19	$11,872	2
"Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office	3 / 19	$10,451	3

Everything else 355

Event	Wallets	Notional	Outcomes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?	17 / 19	$2,827,087	23
Will Trump release Epstein files by...?	15 / 19	$1,958,501	5
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?	15 / 19	$1,271,278	20
Netanyahu out by...?	14 / 19	$6,038,801	6
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February	14 / 19	$1,857,992	2
World Cup Winner	14 / 19	$1,113,440	16
US Forces Enter Iran	13 / 19	$5,075,753	8
Will Polymarket US Go Live in 2025	13 / 19	$2,493,952	2
Who will die in Stranger Things: Season 5?	13 / 19	$1,600,116	2
Maduro Out in 2025	13 / 19	$1,590,242	12
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)	13 / 19	$624,383	7
Will the Iranian Regime Fall by March	12 / 19	$1,536,375	1
Will the Iranian Regime Fall by June	12 / 19	$1,418,011	1
Iran closes its airspace by...?	12 / 19	$1,181,728	17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?	12 / 19	$834,839	11
Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?	12 / 19	$686,413	4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?	11 / 19	$1,256,373	7
Nobel Peace Prize 2025	11 / 19	$960,171	1
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	11 / 19	$937,914	1
Will Trump Release the Epstein Files	11 / 19	$856,657	2
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025	11 / 19	$490,268	4
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025	11 / 19	$487,522	2
Iran Agrees to End Enrichment of Uranium by June	11 / 19	$444,260	2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?	11 / 19	$302,408	24
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March	11 / 19	$293,330	2
Will Zelenskyy Wear a Suit Before July	10 / 19	$4,792,922	2
Will the Iranian Regime Fall by April	10 / 19	$1,548,383	1
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January	10 / 19	$1,078,997	2
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup	10 / 19	$892,864	2
Trump Declassifies Ufo Files in 2025	10 / 19	$760,017	1
Will Trump Deploy National Guard in Dc by Monday	10 / 19	$428,220	2
Lord Miles Completes 40 Day Water Fast in the Dessert	10 / 19	$351,722	2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?	10 / 19	$338,233	14
Starmer out by...?	10 / 19	$285,920	8
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June	10 / 19	$250,943	2
US Military Action Against Iran Before July	10 / 19	$140,100	2
Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?	10 / 19	$99,733	6
TikTok sale announced by...?	10 / 19	$52,156	5
What Iranian Demands Will Trump Agree to by June	9 / 19	$570,628	7
What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?	9 / 19	$552,695	8
Will the Iranian Regime Fall by January	9 / 19	$370,525	1
Iran leadership change by...?	9 / 19	$361,722	6
Boxing Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua Third Option Included	9 / 19	$306,032	2
Who Will Be Next Supreme Leader of Iran	9 / 19	$199,359	5
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July	9 / 19	$190,528	1
Who will perform at 2026 Big Game halftime show?	9 / 19	$176,535	6
US Anti Cartel Operation on Foreign Soil by December	9 / 19	$131,213	2
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June	9 / 19	$106,824	2
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?	9 / 19	$104,270	6
Next Prime Minster of Canada	8 / 19	$1,471,539	4
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?	8 / 19	$1,415,836	5
What will Melania say during AI talk on January 16?	8 / 19	$707,999	1
Major Cyberattack on Iran in June	8 / 19	$686,762	2
Clavicular Pregnancy in 2026	8 / 19	$640,163	2
Will Tesla Launch a Driverless Robtotaxi Service Before July	8 / 19	$479,672	1
Will Trump Be in the Wc Champions Photo	8 / 19	$340,308	1
Will Trump Remove Jerome Powell	8 / 19	$279,243	2
US forces in Venezuela by...?	8 / 19	$275,038	6
Israel Military Action Against Iran by Friday	8 / 19	$240,310	2
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?	8 / 19	$222,254	13
Will Seguro Win All of Portugals Districts	8 / 19	$193,337	1
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?	8 / 19	$178,151	7
Israel Military Action Against Iran Before July	8 / 19	$176,880	2
Ufc Max1 Con 2026	8 / 19	$113,758	1
Who will Trump talk to in November?	8 / 19	$106,454	2
Mexico vs. England - More Markets	8 / 19	$82,507	2
What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?	8 / 19	$63,603	14
US Anti Cartel Operation Outside of the US	8 / 19	$48,828	2
Will Trump Meet With Xi Jinping by October	8 / 19	$11,286	1
Tiktok Banned in the US Before May 2025	7 / 19	$2,771,885	1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	7 / 19	$772,303	1
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	7 / 19	$766,178	1
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?	7 / 19	$622,475	10
World Cup: Golden Boot Winner	7 / 19	$611,315	5
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?	7 / 19	$286,044	8
Who will Trump talk to in March?	7 / 19	$200,451	2
US Military Action Against Iran by Saturday	7 / 19	$186,085	1
Will Putin Meet With Trump by First 100 Days	7 / 19	$146,659	2
Lighter Market Cap Fdv One Day After Launch	7 / 19	$100,268	6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?	7 / 19	$98,100	11
Ukraine Agrees to Give Trump Rare Earth Metals Before April	7 / 19	$84,141	2
What day will the Lighter airdrop be?	7 / 19	$72,773	4
Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum Pass	7 / 19	$68,620	2
Will Zohran Mamdani Praise Donald Trump on Friday	7 / 19	$68,514	2
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	7 / 19	$66,453	1
Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?	7 / 19	$48,956	6
New Supreme Leader of Iran by...?	7 / 19	$48,666	7
Which countries will recognize Palestine in 2025?	7 / 19	$47,943	3
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?	7 / 19	$44,454	4
US Forces in Venezuela Again	7 / 19	$43,907	4
Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?	7 / 19	$38,841	2
Who will Trump pardon in 2025?	7 / 19	$38,395	2
Iran full airspace closure by...?	7 / 19	$35,279	8
Will Zelenskyy Wear a Suit Before June	7 / 19	$34,771	2
Will Anyone Be Charged Over Daycare Fraud in Minnesota	7 / 19	$27,062	2
Fact Check Is Tyler Robinson Gay	7 / 19	$17,562	2
Will Eric Adams drop out by...?	7 / 19	$13,622	5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?	7 / 19	$8,023	3
What Day Will Openai Release a New Frontier Model	6 / 19	$505,528	1
Who will Biden pardon?	6 / 19	$392,824	6
1 Searched Person on Google This Year	6 / 19	$372,201	6
Will the Iranian Regime Fall by May	6 / 19	$370,975	2
Will Mark Carney Lose His Seat	6 / 19	$367,009	1
Monad Market Cap Fdv One Day After Launch	6 / 19	$344,983	3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?	6 / 19	$334,717	5
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?	6 / 19	$315,219	7
Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?	6 / 19	$286,396	4
Was Jfk Assassination an Inside Job March	6 / 19	$274,320	1
What will Trump say during inauguration speech?	6 / 19	$227,648	9
Will Tesla Launch a Driverless Robotaxi Service by October	6 / 19	$219,922	1
Will Kabuto 1st Edition Card Hit 100 by December	6 / 19	$172,775	2
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?	6 / 19	$166,335	3
Will Curtis Sliwa Drop Out	6 / 19	$164,333	2
Speaker of the House for the 119th Congress	6 / 19	$157,780	3
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?	6 / 19	$148,953	4
Will Israel Launch a Major Ground Offensive in Lebanon by March	6 / 19	$143,400	1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?	6 / 19	$131,103	7
Which Company Has Best AI Model End of August	6 / 19	$130,208	5
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?	6 / 19	$125,432	4
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?	6 / 19	$91,064	4
What will happen before GTA VI?	6 / 19	$82,592	2
Will Russia Capture Pokrovsk	6 / 19	$75,719	4
Andy Byron Out as Astronomer CEO by Next Friday	6 / 19	$71,920	2
Fact Check Epstein Video Confirmed Fake	6 / 19	$69,995	1
Iran announces new Supreme Leader on...?	6 / 19	$57,680	2
Will Trump Deploy Marines in Response to the La Protests by Friday	6 / 19	$56,155	2
Israel closes its airspace by...?	6 / 19	$55,624	7
Will Mrbeast Raise 40m for Clean Water by August	6 / 19	$53,833	2
Who will be the next Pope?	6 / 19	$50,731	2
Will Eric Adams Drop Out	6 / 19	$44,532	2
Will Trump visit China by...?	6 / 19	$42,721	2
Which Countries Will Recognize Israel by June	6 / 19	$39,945	1
Will Trump Talk to Nicols Maduro by December	6 / 19	$39,754	2
Will Trump Meet With Putin by August	6 / 19	$39,746	2
Who will Trump meet with in August?	6 / 19	$38,423	3
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	6 / 19	$38,247	2
Which Company Has Best AI Model End of 2025	6 / 19	$36,990	5
Who will Trump meet with in 2025?	6 / 19	$36,392	1
Will Trump and Machado Share the Nobel Peace Prize	6 / 19	$33,016	2
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by...?	6 / 19	$32,181	3
Iran Agrees to End Enrichment of Uranium by May	6 / 19	$27,612	2
France vs. Spain - More Markets	6 / 19	$24,048	2
Larger Margin of Victory Zohran Mamdani vs California Referendum	6 / 19	$20,922	1
US announces military support of Kurds by...?	6 / 19	$15,894	2
Will Trump and Elon Publicly Reconcile by Next Friday	6 / 19	$15,669	2
Iran military action against a gulf state on...?	6 / 19	$14,135	3
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?	6 / 19	$12,743	3
Will Rfk Jr Find the Cause of Autism Before November	6 / 19	$10,913	1
Who will leave Trump Administration in 2025?	6 / 19	$9,496	4
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?	6 / 19	$9,333	1
What will Trump say during conference with Putin on August 15?	6 / 19	$8,457	3
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?	6 / 19	$3,018	3
Xi Jinping Out in 2025	5 / 19	$1,540,354	1
Israel Military Action Against Iraq Before November	5 / 19	$966,753	2
Portugal vs. Spain	5 / 19	$911,503	1
Fifwc Ger Par 2026	5 / 19	$671,742	2
Spain vs. Argentina - Exact Score	5 / 19	$619,540	2
US Anti Cartel Ground Operation in Mexico by January	5 / 19	$601,497	1
Will the Iranian Regime Fall in 2025	5 / 19	$496,366	1
Weed Rescheduled in 2025	5 / 19	$402,762	2
Makina public sale total commitments	5 / 19	$395,795	1
US Government Funding Lapse on March	5 / 19	$341,817	2
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?	5 / 19	$321,840	3
Openai Browser by October	5 / 19	$232,182	2
Israeli Forces Enters Lebanon in September	5 / 19	$194,521	2
Who will attend Trump inauguration?	5 / 19	$177,509	5
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?	5 / 19	$176,447	2
Trump Ends Taxes on Tips in First 100 Days	5 / 19	$148,093	1
Which Company Has the Best AI Model End of February	5 / 19	$134,230	4
Trump X Ukraine Mineral Deal Signed Before May	5 / 19	$102,509	2
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?	5 / 19	$97,152	2
US Military Action Against Iran by Sunday	5 / 19	$86,444	1
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?	5 / 19	$85,360	3
Skye Valadez Confirmed Perp	5 / 19	$82,591	1
Who will Trump talk to in January?	5 / 19	$81,114	2
What will Trump say during address to Congress?	5 / 19	$75,016	15
Hyperliquid Daily Fees Above 8m in 2025	5 / 19	$73,922	2
Iran leader end of 2026?	5 / 19	$66,368	2
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday	5 / 19	$63,797	1
Nothing Ever Happens June	5 / 19	$60,471	2
Yoon Arrested by January	5 / 19	$59,117	2
First Song at Super Bowl Lx Halftime Show	5 / 19	$58,940	2
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?	5 / 19	$55,418	3
2026 NBA Champion	5 / 19	$52,667	1
Will Israel Raid Greta Thunbergs Ship by Monday	5 / 19	$45,804	2
Will Trump Win Fifa Peace Prize	5 / 19	$41,595	1
Fide World Blitz Champion	5 / 19	$35,828	3
US Anti Cartel Ground Operation in Mexico by March	5 / 19	$35,038	2
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau Confirmed Relationship by October	5 / 19	$34,364	2
2026 Men's Australian Open Winner	5 / 19	$33,267	3
NBA: LeBron James Next Team	5 / 19	$33,065	4
Kai and Speed beat Minecraft challenge by...?	5 / 19	$32,099	3
Will Elon Musk Unfollow Donald Trump Before July	5 / 19	$26,926	1
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?	5 / 19	$26,116	2
United States vs. Belgium - More Markets	5 / 19	$24,995	2
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?	5 / 19	$20,322	2
Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?	5 / 19	$17,345	4
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by December 31 2026	5 / 19	$17,119	2
Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Who Will Win	5 / 19	$17,025	2
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?	5 / 19	$15,290	4
Iran military response by...?	5 / 19	$15,044	2
Iran Agrees to End Enrichment of Uranium by April	5 / 19	$14,102	2
Will Eric Adams Endorse Cuomo	5 / 19	$11,734	2
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?	5 / 19	$9,302	1
Israel Military Action Against Iraq by Friday	5 / 19	$6,214	2
North Korea Missile Test by September	5 / 19	$5,900	2
Super Bowl Champion 2026	5 / 19	$5,032	1
Will the White House Call a Full Lid by 630 Pm June 29 July	5 / 19	$3,521	1
Who will be named in Epstein files by June 30?	5 / 19	$2,976	3
Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	5 / 19	$2,859	3
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?	5 / 19	$2,208	2
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?	5 / 19	$586	2
Next Chancellor of Germany	4 / 19	$363,681	3
Trump Declassifies Jfk Files in First Week	4 / 19	$272,804	1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?	4 / 19	$263,103	2
FIFA Club World Cup Winner	4 / 19	$262,355	3
2025 January Hottest on Record	4 / 19	$246,847	1
January 2025 Temperature Increase C	4 / 19	$221,371	4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	4 / 19	$190,393	1
World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages	4 / 19	$174,863	2
Was Kanye Hacked	4 / 19	$153,601	1
Will 2025 Be the Hottest Year on Record	4 / 19	$146,415	1
Which continent will win the World Cup?	4 / 19	$143,266	4
Will Russia Abandon Syrian Naval Base Before April 2025	4 / 19	$128,572	2
California Redistricting Referendum Passes	4 / 19	$102,985	1
Who will recognize Syrian Government by March 31?	4 / 19	$100,077	1
Wicked vs Avatar Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend	4 / 19	$95,637	1
US Military Action Against Iran in April	4 / 19	$81,281	1
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by...?	4 / 19	$79,426	1
Which companies will run ads during Super Bowl LIX?	4 / 19	$78,776	2
US Recognizes Machado as Leader of Venezuela by January	4 / 19	$71,347	1
Superbowl Champion 2025	4 / 19	$65,366	7
Will Elon Apologize to Trump by Monday	4 / 19	$63,206	2
Jesus Christ Return Before 2027 Odds 5 Monday Night 12 1 Am	4 / 19	$61,221	2
Will Openai Release a New Frontier Model by December	4 / 19	$60,750	3
Venezuela leader end of 2026?	4 / 19	$52,683	3
Google Gemini 3 Score on Lmarena by December	4 / 19	$49,282	2
Will Tesla Launch a Driverless Robotaxi Service Before August	4 / 19	$46,570	1
Will Greta Thunberg Enter Gaza by Next Friday	4 / 19	$46,352	1
Democratic Sweep	4 / 19	$46,267	2
Avatar Fire and Ash Total Domestic Gross by January	4 / 19	$45,258	4
Will Putin Meet With Trump Before October	4 / 19	$39,775	1
Iran Coup Attempt by June	4 / 19	$36,755	1
Iran Agrees to End Enrichment of Uranium by July	4 / 19	$34,699	1
Gold Missing From Fort Knox	4 / 19	$34,415	1
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?	4 / 19	$33,220	2
Will Mikie Sherrill Win	4 / 19	$30,606	1
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?	4 / 19	$29,220	3
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?	4 / 19	$26,774	1
How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?	4 / 19	$26,440	2
Openai Browser in 2025	4 / 19	$24,602	1
What will Trump say during his Independence Day remarks on July 4?	4 / 19	$23,866	1
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?	4 / 19	$22,104	3
Openai Implements Ads on Llm by December	4 / 19	$19,656	1
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?	4 / 19	$17,025	1
Israel Military Response Against Iran in October	4 / 19	$16,773	2
Will Russia Capture Kurakhove Before December	4 / 19	$16,338	1
Nothing Ever Happens December	4 / 19	$15,736	1
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?	4 / 19	$15,601	2
How Many Gold Cards Will Trump Sell in 2025	4 / 19	$15,179	2
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?	4 / 19	$15,034	2
Confirmed Case of Hantavirus in US by May	4 / 19	$14,242	2
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?	4 / 19	$13,986	3
Will Either Cuomo or Mamdani Announce They Are Running for Mayor on Non Democrat Slate	4 / 19	$13,415	2
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	4 / 19	$13,278	2
2026 Winter Olympics Most Medals	4 / 19	$12,007	2
Another Successful Houthis Attack Shipping in July	4 / 19	$11,412	2
Nothing Ever Happens World Leader Out Edition	4 / 19	$9,819	1
Will Hakeem Jeffries Endorse Mamdani	4 / 19	$6,665	2
Will Trump Attend Ufc	4 / 19	$6,102	2
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by...?	4 / 19	$5,907	2
Israeli Forces Cross the Litani River by June	4 / 19	$5,772	1
U.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?	4 / 19	$5,624	1
Ukraine Agrees to US Approved Peace Plan by Thursday	4 / 19	$5,219	2
Google Maps Renames Gulf of America Before March	4 / 19	$5,003	2
Putin out as President of Russia by...?	3 / 19	$463,701	1
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?	3 / 19	$429,816	1
Biden Drops Out After Debate	3 / 19	$405,073	1
Is Djt Real	3 / 19	$392,194	1
Eurovision Winner 2025	3 / 19	$255,077	1
Will Trump Apologize to Elon	3 / 19	$242,224	1
Will Putin Meet With Zelenskyy by August	3 / 19	$240,730	1
Eurovision Winner 2026	3 / 19	$213,680	3
Will Andrew Cuomo Drop Out	3 / 19	$195,315	1
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?	3 / 19	$180,123	2
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?	3 / 19	$179,206	1
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?	3 / 19	$156,236	1
English Premier League Winner	3 / 19	$130,445	1
Which Company Has Best AI Model End of July	3 / 19	$129,520	4
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?	3 / 19	$126,167	1
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?	3 / 19	$97,626	1
Will Trump Pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July	3 / 19	$89,501	1
Ilhan Omar Town Hall Attack Staged	3 / 19	$86,822	1
Israel Withdraws From Gaza in 2025	3 / 19	$85,240	1
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?	3 / 19	$84,498	1
Will Trump Sign Mineral Deal Without Zelenskyy Apology	3 / 19	$78,671	1
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by...?	3 / 19	$73,790	2
2025 US Open Winner (M)	3 / 19	$65,501	3
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	3 / 19	$59,935	1
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?	3 / 19	$56,444	1
2024 August Hottest on Record	3 / 19	$55,160	1
Will Russia Capture Kupiansk	3 / 19	$50,170	2
Elon Musk of Tweets June	3 / 19	$48,452	1
Will Any AI Model Reach 1500 on Chatbot Arena by Dec	3 / 19	$47,847	1
Which Coalition Will Form the Next German Government	3 / 19	$45,905	1
Fifwc Usa Aus 2026	3 / 19	$44,740	2
Will Elon Musk Buy Msnbc Before April 2025	3 / 19	$43,203	1
Will Russia capture Siversk by...?	3 / 19	$42,997	2
Israel Military Action Against Iran in July	3 / 19	$41,216	1
Which Company Has the Best Math AI Model End of April	3 / 19	$40,928	4
July 2025 Temperature Increase C	3 / 19	$37,365	1
Ukraine Signs Peace Deal With Russia in 2025	3 / 19	$36,440	1
Next Government of Canada	3 / 19	$35,303	2
Will Russia Abandon Syrian Naval Base Before 2025	3 / 19	$34,589	1
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	3 / 19	$34,139	1
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?	3 / 19	$34,083	4
College Football Undefeated 15 0 Team	3 / 19	$32,926	2
What will Powell say during March Press Conference?	3 / 19	$30,591	4
Tulsi Gabbard Out as United States Director of National Intelligence Before July	3 / 19	$28,643	1
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?	3 / 19	$26,013	1
Where Will Trump and Putin Meet Next	3 / 19	$24,047	1
Will Supreme Court Delay the Tiktok Ban	3 / 19	$24,011	1
2025 July Hottest on Record	3 / 19	$23,008	1
Yoon Arrested by Next Friday	3 / 19	$22,830	2
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026	3 / 19	$22,554	1
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?	3 / 19	$19,339	2
Will Moana 2 Gross Over 200m on 5 Day Opening Weekend	3 / 19	$18,069	1
Openai Browser by September	3 / 19	$17,199	1
Trump Declassifies Epstein List	3 / 19	$16,155	1
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?	3 / 19	$16,095	2
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?	3 / 19	$14,598	2
What will Trump say during New York rally?	3 / 19	$14,321	4
Will Ukraine Hold Russian Territory in Kursk Through Aug	3 / 19	$14,122	1
Trump X Khamenei Talk Before July	3 / 19	$14,106	1
Netanyahu Out in 2025	3 / 19	$14,066	1
Israel military action against Iran before June?	3 / 19	$13,846	1
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	3 / 19	$13,346	1
Will Hezbollah to Disarm Before in 2025	3 / 19	$12,761	2
Which company has the best AI model end of May?	3 / 19	$12,543	2
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?	3 / 19	$11,917	2
What will Trump say this week (March 15)?	3 / 19	$11,437	3
What will Powell say during January Press Conference?	3 / 19	$11,295	4
September 2024 Temperature Increase C	3 / 19	$10,269	3
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?	3 / 19	$9,195	1
What will Powell say during December Press Conference?	3 / 19	$8,623	2
NFL MVP	3 / 19	$6,840	1
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?	3 / 19	$6,811	4
Will Trump Talk to Nicols Maduro Again by December	3 / 19	$6,796	2
Reconciliation bill passed by...?	3 / 19	$6,297	3
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 2025	3 / 19	$6,244	2
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?	3 / 19	$6,222	1
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?	3 / 19	$5,449	1
Will Trump Sue the Bbc	3 / 19	$5,255	1
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?	3 / 19	$5,210	2
World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals	3 / 19	$5,102	2

How the cohort works

Cohven works as a Polymarket wallet tracker. It watches a cohort of consistently profitable addresses, reads their public activity on Polygon, and rebuilds equity, entry price, position weight and verified P&L for every wallet. You see the positions, you place your own orders. Cohven never touches your funds and never holds a key, so nothing here behaves like a copy trading bot.

Why a cohort beats one whale

A single profitable wallet can win on luck. Any Polymarket whale tracker that mirrors one address hands you that wallet's variance along with its edge. Cohven waits for agreement instead. When several tracked wallets stand on the same YES or NO outcome, that agreement reaches quorum and the position counts as a consensus trade. Smart money on Polymarket looks obvious in hindsight. Quorum is how you spot it while the market still trades.

Position weight, not raw dollars

A $20,000 position means one thing inside a $700,000 wallet and something else inside a $50,000 wallet. Cohven measures every position as a share of its owner's equity, and that share is the position weight. That number lets Cohven resize any cohort trade to your account, in shares and in dollars, whatever your bankroll.

The Gap

The Gap lists the difference between your portfolio and the cohort, row by row. It shows which consensus positions you already hold, which you hold too small, and which you miss completely. Cohven prices each row against the live order book, so the number you read matches the number you would pay.

Questions traders ask

Can you see other people's positions on Polymarket?

Yes. Polymarket settles on Polygon and every trade lands on a public ledger, so anyone can read the positions of any address. Cohven does that reading at scale for a curated cohort and turns it into entry price, implied probability, position weight and verified P&L.

Is copy trading on Polymarket profitable?

Copying one wallet inherits the variance of that wallet. A single whale can run a losing streak for months while the long run ROI still looks strong. Cohven answers a narrower question. It shows where several profitable wallets agree, and agreement carries a better base rate than any single address.

Is it legal to track Polymarket wallets?

Reading a public blockchain breaks no rule. Cohven publishes no private data, asks for no Polymarket credentials and requests no permission over your account.

How does Cohven differ from a Polymarket copy trading bot?

A copy bot needs your keys and fires orders on your behalf. Cohven stays read-only. It shows the cohort, the quorum and the Gap, then you decide what to place and at what size.

Does Cohven touch my funds?

No. Cohven is non-custodial. It holds no keys, no balance and no order permissions, and it never routes a trade for you.

What counts as a Polymarket whale?

Traders use the word for any address carrying a large notional. Cohven cares less about size and more about a verified record, so the leaderboard ranks the cohort by on-chain P&L and win rate rather than by balance alone.

How do I find the most profitable Polymarket wallets?

You can read the Polymarket leaderboard and check each address on-chain by hand. Cohven skips that work. It maintains the cohort, refreshes P&L daily and ranks the best Polymarket traders by verified result.

How much does Cohven cost?

Access starts at $29 a month, the Pro plan tracks up to 30 wallets, and you pay in USDC.

See the cohort live

The cohort trades every day. Open the tracker to watch consensus form, read the Gap against your own portfolio and size each position to your account.

Show me the cohort

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Positions come from public on-chain activity of the tracked addresses. Nothing on this page is financial advice.