Трекер кошельков Polymarket. Все события, которые торговала когорта

Cohven отслеживает 19 прибыльных кошельков Polymarket и заново собирает каждую позицию по публичной ончейн-активности в сети Polygon. В этом индексе собраны 765 событий, где сторону заняли минимум три таких кошелька. На каждой странице видно цену входа, вес позиции, номинал и итог, поэтому вы читаете, как умные деньги Polymarket действительно торговали рынок, а не гадаете по таблице лидеров.

Событий в индексе

765

Кошельков в когорте

Вложено номинала

$221 846 934

Сделок прочитано

324 419

События по темам

Внутри каждой группы Cohven сортирует события по числу участвовавших кошельков.

Выборы и политика 189

Событие	Кошельков	Номинал	Исходов
Peru Presidential Election Winner	16 / 19	$1 865 169	14
New York City Mayoral Election	15 / 19	$3 518 047	6
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner	15 / 19	$371 563	8
Los Angeles Mayoral Election	13 / 19	$504 734	5
Bolivia Presidential Election	13 / 19	$433 634	7
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner	13 / 19	$377 161	4
Next Prime Minister of Hungary	12 / 19	$759 579	2
Clacton by-election Winner	12 / 19	$755 341	3
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?	12 / 19	$349 388	4
Will Grahm Platner Drop Out Before the Midterms	12 / 19	$89 671	9
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner	11 / 19	$1 064 861	3
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner	11 / 19	$170 472	6
Next president of South Korea?	10 / 19	$2 629 451	3
Portugal Presidential Election	10 / 19	$1 402 381	8
Romania Presidential Election Winner	10 / 19	$1 158 657	6
New Jersey Governor Election Winner 2025	10 / 19	$618 318	4
Brazil Presidential Election	10 / 19	$347 724	3
2nd Place in New York City Mayoral Election	10 / 19	$306 707	6
Ky 04 Republican Primary Winner	10 / 19	$182 020	3
Zohran Mamdani Margin of Victory in 2025 New York City Mayoral Election	10 / 19	$132 058	6
California Governor Election Winner	10 / 19	$75 316	4
Colombia Presidential Election	9 / 19	$621 944	4
Texas Democratic Senate Primary Winner	9 / 19	$450 485	4
Honduras Presidential Election	9 / 19	$229 823	6
Mi 13 Democratic Primary Winner	9 / 19	$152 882	4
Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory	8 / 19	$756 765	5
Wisconsin Supreme Court Election Susan Crawford vs Brad Schimel	8 / 19	$253 520	1
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	8 / 19	$230 974	3
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner	8 / 19	$228 128	5
Will Mamdani Get Over 50 of the Vote in the General Mayoral Election	8 / 19	$79 686	2
Presidential Election Winner 2028	8 / 19	$68 996	3
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner	8 / 19	$48 796	2
Bolivia Presidential Election 1st round winner?	8 / 19	$47 907	3
LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?	8 / 19	$34 007	4
Presidential Election Winner 2024	7 / 19	$1 715 188	7
Germany Parliamentary Election	7 / 19	$1 279 718	2
Presidential Election Popular Vote Winner 2024	7 / 19	$1 147 134	6
Poland Presidential Election	7 / 19	$894 260	4
Makerfield by Election Winner	7 / 19	$597 310	3
Next Prime Minister of Norway	7 / 19	$414 952	2
Netherlands Parliamentary Election	7 / 19	$407 080	7
Which party will win the House in 2026?	7 / 19	$331 026	2
Will South Korea Presidential Election Winner Get Over 50 of Votes	7 / 19	$158 441	2
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner	7 / 19	$101 222	2
Virginia Attorney General Election Winner 2025	7 / 19	$75 501	4
Maine Senate Election Winner	7 / 19	$72 575	2
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028	7 / 19	$65 735	2
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place	7 / 19	$56 639	7
James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?	7 / 19	$55 753	5
Michigan Senate Election Winner	7 / 19	$41 277	3
Ireland Presidential Election	7 / 19	$32 444	3
Virginia Governor Election Margin of Victory	7 / 19	$17 150	6
Who will be inaugurated as President?	6 / 19	$1 100 541	2
Which Senators will vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?	6 / 19	$377 123	6
Norway Parliamentary Election Winner	6 / 19	$360 760	3
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?	6 / 19	$349 475	1
Will Dan or Simion Win the Diaspora Vote	6 / 19	$187 149	1
Will Assad Remain President of Syria Through 2024	6 / 19	$157 729	2
LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?	6 / 19	$100 361	2
(Old) Romania Election	6 / 19	$97 899	6
Chile Presidential Election	6 / 19	$92 693	6
Zelenskyy Out as Ukraine President Before July	6 / 19	$89 013	1
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	6 / 19	$86 473	13
Romania Bucharest Mayoral Election	6 / 19	$83 530	5
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?	6 / 19	$46 653	5
Will Elon Musk Create a New Political Party	6 / 19	$46 582	5
Rhineland Palatinate Parliamentary Election Winner	6 / 19	$45 581	2
Mo 01 Democratic Primary Winner	6 / 19	$24 035	4
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?	6 / 19	$18 474	3
Minneapolis Mayoral Election	6 / 19	$14 750	4
Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner	6 / 19	$7 133	2
Will Trump Launch a Coin Before the Election	5 / 19	$600 259	2
Will Biden Complete His Term as President	5 / 19	$594 441	1
Afd of Vote in German Election	5 / 19	$536 895	4
Arizona Presidential Election Winner	5 / 19	$325 088	4
Paris Mayoral Election	5 / 19	$288 894	4
US Presidential Election Certified on January	5 / 19	$262 235	1
Which Party Wins Most Seats in Canadian Election	5 / 19	$253 205	2
NYC Mayor Dem Primary 1st Round Winner	5 / 19	$181 044	4
Yoon Out as President of South Korea Before April	5 / 19	$172 044	2
Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner	5 / 19	$145 888	3
Popular Vote Margin of Victory in Presidential Election	5 / 19	$124 659	5
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?	5 / 19	$117 807	4
Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner	5 / 19	$102 079	3
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	5 / 19	$82 656	1
Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory Second Round	5 / 19	$57 106	4
Who Will Qualify for the Second Round of the Portugal Presidential Election	5 / 19	$55 445	3
Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner	5 / 19	$50 141	2
New Jersey Governor Election Margin of Victory	5 / 19	$45 077	5
Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands	5 / 19	$33 059	2
Which Party Wins 2nd Most Seats in Netherlands Election	5 / 19	$26 718	5
Tennessee House Special Election	5 / 19	$26 185	4
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final	5 / 19	$23 567	1
Texas Senate Election Winner	5 / 19	$19 349	2
Electoral College Margin of Victory in the 2024 Presidential Election	5 / 19	$17 722	5
Lee Jae-myung % of vote in South Korea Election?	5 / 19	$13 434	2
Alaska Senate Election Winner	5 / 19	$9 306	3
Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place	5 / 19	$8 325	2
Turnout in 2025 Canadian Federal Election	5 / 19	$7 275	2
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election	5 / 19	$5 867	4
What will Trump say during events with Turkish president on September 25?	5 / 19	$2 547	3
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	5 / 19	$2 247	2
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place	5 / 19	$1 055	3
Arizona US Senate Election Winner	4 / 19	$1 304 189	2
Trump Out as President by April	4 / 19	$517 541	1
Will the Conservative Party Win a Majority in Next Canadian Election	4 / 19	$501 531	1
Which Party Wins Presidency Popular Vote	4 / 19	$258 700	5
Trump out as President before 2027?	4 / 19	$249 838	2
Texas Presidential Election Winner	4 / 19	$231 602	3
Yoon Out as President of South Korea Before May	4 / 19	$191 842	2
Will Microsoft Shareholders Vote for Bitcoin Investment	4 / 19	$180 023	1
Will 2 of Votes Go to 3rd Party Candidates in US Election	4 / 19	$175 657	2
Virginia Presidential Election Winner	4 / 19	$152 793	3
Thai Legislative Election Winner	4 / 19	$113 656	4
Who Will Win the Most Seats in the 2026 Baden Wrttemberg Parliamentary Elections	4 / 19	$98 651	3
Poland Presidential Election Margin of Victory	4 / 19	$91 204	6
Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner	4 / 19	$75 711	3
Portugal Presidential Election 1st Round Winner	4 / 19	$69 243	4
Balance of Power 2024 Election	4 / 19	$55 033	3
Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner	4 / 19	$54 649	2
Liberals Win Majority in Canadian Election	4 / 19	$53 859	2
NYC Mayoral Dem Primary MOV	4 / 19	$44 558	2
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	4 / 19	$40 732	1
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner	4 / 19	$38 308	3
People Power Party Ppp Presidential Candidate	4 / 19	$37 658	2
Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory	4 / 19	$31 763	4
Colorado Governor Democratic Primary Winner	4 / 19	$29 696	2
Hungary Election Tisza Wins at Least Seats	4 / 19	$26 721	2
Next President of Suriname	4 / 19	$25 764	1
Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?	4 / 19	$25 744	5
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory	4 / 19	$23 884	2
Next Prime Minister of Denmark After Parliamentary Election	4 / 19	$23 833	3
Will Trump Go on Rogan Before Election	4 / 19	$23 552	2
Which Party Holds the Most Seats After Argentina Deputies Election	4 / 19	$18 862	3
Which Party Wins 3rd Most Seats in Canadian Election	4 / 19	$18 829	3
Will Lisa Cook Vote at the Next Fomc Meeting	4 / 19	$18 743	1
Gorton and Denton by Election Winner	4 / 19	$18 572	3
Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?	4 / 19	$16 996	2
West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner	4 / 19	$16 509	3
Iowa Senate Election Winner	4 / 19	$16 155	4
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?	4 / 19	$15 474	3
Clacton by-election: 2nd place	4 / 19	$13 896	2
Seattle Mayoral Election	4 / 19	$13 835	2
South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner	4 / 19	$12 551	1
Zohran Mamdani % of vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	4 / 19	$10 629	4
Michel Barnier Out as Prime Minister of France in 2024	4 / 19	$9 038	2
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	4 / 19	$5 832	1
Democratic Nominee 2024	3 / 19	$827 829	3
Florida Presidential Election Winner	3 / 19	$291 648	2
Trump Out as President in 2025	3 / 19	$198 690	1
Virginia Governor Election Winner	3 / 19	$149 908	2
Democratic Vp Nominee	3 / 19	$140 563	7
Which Senators will vote to confirm RFK Jr.?	3 / 19	$95 251	3
North Carolina Presidential Election Winner	3 / 19	$89 554	2
How many Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?	3 / 19	$79 239	2
Montana US Senate Election Winner	3 / 19	$76 997	2
Will Biden Drop Out of Presidential Race	3 / 19	$69 994	2
What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?	3 / 19	$40 810	1
California Governor Primary Election: First Place	3 / 19	$39 179	2
Nebraska US Senate Election Winner	3 / 19	$39 073	2
Yoon Reinstated as President Before July	3 / 19	$37 897	1
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	3 / 19	$35 516	1
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner	3 / 19	$34 993	1
Nevada Presidential Election Winner	3 / 19	$32 001	2
Yoon Out as President of South Korea in 2025	3 / 19	$26 494	1
Tamas Sulyok Out as President of Hungary by June	3 / 19	$25 905	1
Georgia Senate Election Winner	3 / 19	$24 635	2
Which candidates will advance in Romanian Election 1st round?	3 / 19	$21 525	1
Popular Vote Margin of Victory 0.25 Ranges	3 / 19	$19 928	2
Malawi Presidential Election	3 / 19	$17 447	3
LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?	3 / 19	$15 243	2
Zelenskyy Out as Ukraine President by December	3 / 19	$14 962	1
Which Party wins most seats in Ontario?	3 / 19	$14 625	1
How many Constitutional Court justices will vote for Yoon's impeachment?	3 / 19	$13 481	2
Georgia Presidential Election Winner	3 / 19	$11 999	2
Will Any Democratic Senator Vote to Confirm Rfk Jr	3 / 19	$11 993	1
Michigan US Senate Election Winner	3 / 19	$11 696	2
Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner	3 / 19	$11 248	1
Poland Presidential Election 1st Round Winner	3 / 19	$10 213	2
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %	3 / 19	$9 393	3
Assad Out as President of Syria by March 31 2025	3 / 19	$9 336	2
Will Trzaskowski or Nawrocki Win the Diaspora Vote	3 / 19	$9 331	1
Next Prime Minister of Slovenia	3 / 19	$7 878	1
Next Senate Majority Leader?	3 / 19	$7 856	2
Which Party Wins Nunavut	3 / 19	$6 822	2
Ohio US Senate Election Winner	3 / 19	$6 304	3
Next Prime Minister of Sweden	3 / 19	$5 529	1
Ohio Senate Election Winner	3 / 19	$5 367	2
LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?	3 / 19	$5 316	3

Конфликты и дипломатия 123

Событие	Кошельков	Номинал	Исходов
US strikes Iran by...?	16 / 19	$2 753 994	52
US x Iran ceasefire by...?	15 / 19	$4 148 266	16
US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?	14 / 19	$1 563 062	4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	14 / 19	$1 374 444	2
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?	13 / 19	$556 275	5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?	12 / 19	$1 299 415	4
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by End of June	12 / 19	$1 170 935	2
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by April	12 / 19	$1 124 512	2
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire in 2025	12 / 19	$851 787	2
Iran Ceasefire Continues Through	11 / 19	$277 089	10
Fordow Nuclear Facility Destroyed Before July	10 / 19	$978 858	2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?	10 / 19	$720 350	14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?	10 / 19	$363 044	17
Israel X Hezbollah Ceasefire	9 / 19	$959 816	7
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by End of May	9 / 19	$726 185	2
Israel X Iran Ceasefire Before July	9 / 19	$585 219	2
Thailand Strikes Cambodia by Friday	9 / 19	$507 341	2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?	9 / 19	$433 493	4
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?	9 / 19	$88 663	12
Trump Wins Ends Ukraine War in 90 Days	8 / 19	$680 950	2
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by May	8 / 19	$539 231	2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?	8 / 19	$251 095	12
Iran Strike on Israel by Friday	8 / 19	$231 365	2
Israel Strikes Iran by January 31 2026	8 / 19	$68 399	2
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by October	8 / 19	$61 819	2
US Iran Nuclear Deal Before July	8 / 19	$18 463	2
Iran strikes Israel on...?	7 / 19	$1 278 713	6
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire Before 2027	7 / 19	$727 739	1
Will Israel Invade Syria in 2024	7 / 19	$654 853	2
Pakistan Military Strike on India by Friday	7 / 19	$610 269	1
When will Israel announce ceasefire?	7 / 19	$295 038	3
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by July	7 / 19	$194 528	2
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire Before October	7 / 19	$171 218	2
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by September	7 / 19	$102 160	1
Will Iran Close the Strait of Hormuz Before July	7 / 19	$66 357	1
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by October	7 / 19	$47 954	2
Trump Invokes War Powers Against Venezuela	7 / 19	$41 902	2
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?	7 / 19	$41 663	3
Israel strikes Iran on...?	7 / 19	$7 783	4
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire by May 31 2026	6 / 19	$9 282 765	2
Israel X Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024	6 / 19	$1 423 615	2
Israel Strike on Iranian Nuclear Facility in 2024	6 / 19	$1 133 793	2
Israel Announces Lebanon Ceasefire Extension	6 / 19	$536 332	3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?	6 / 19	$466 489	2
Next Country US Strikes	6 / 19	$419 881	2
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by July	6 / 19	$356 519	2
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by June	6 / 19	$344 152	2
Will France UK or Germany Strike Iran by March	6 / 19	$342 739	1
Energy Infrastructure Ceasefire in Ukraine in March	6 / 19	$178 474	2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	6 / 19	$171 376	1
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday	6 / 19	$153 673	1
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?	6 / 19	$129 955	7
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire Before August	6 / 19	$113 430	2
US Iran Nuclear Deal by June	6 / 19	$98 476	2
NATO x Russia military clash by...?	6 / 19	$63 133	2
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by September	6 / 19	$49 672	2
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?	6 / 19	$42 791	1
Will another country take military action against Iran by...?	6 / 19	$37 529	2
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire Before 2026	6 / 19	$31 207	2
Iran Strike on Israel by...?	6 / 19	$24 477	2
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by August	6 / 19	$19 098	2
Kevin Warsh formally nominated as Fed Chair by...?	6 / 19	$5 979	3
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire by June 30 2026	5 / 19	$747 973	1
Will Israel Invade Lebanon in September	5 / 19	$295 573	1
Will the United States Officially Declare War on Iran Before July	5 / 19	$192 176	1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?	5 / 19	$170 127	5
Trump Strikes Another Drug Boat by Sep	5 / 19	$124 136	2
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?	5 / 19	$118 931	2
Another US Strike on Venezuela	5 / 19	$118 398	7
Will Iran Close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025	5 / 19	$99 625	1
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?	5 / 19	$96 866	1
Will Ships Transit the Strait of Hormuz on Any Day by June	5 / 19	$96 409	4
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire by Next Friday Mar	5 / 19	$80 048	1
Israel X Hezbollah Ceasefire Extended	5 / 19	$79 634	2
US/Israel strikes Iran by...?	5 / 19	$79 043	5
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire in 2024	5 / 19	$73 393	2
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	5 / 19	$48 273	2
Will US or Israel Strike Iran First	5 / 19	$30 505	1
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by July	5 / 19	$25 936	2
US announces blockade on Iran by...?	5 / 19	$24 464	2
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...?	5 / 19	$19 681	2
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?	5 / 19	$14 803	3
Trump Announces Hormuz Deadline Extension Today	5 / 19	$11 978	2
US X Iran Nuclear Deal in 2025	5 / 19	$11 585	2
Will Israel Declare War on Iran by Next Friday	5 / 19	$10 140	1
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?	5 / 19	$8 641	1
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?	5 / 19	$8 077	1
Another US Strike on Venezuela	5 / 19	$7 698	2
Israel X Iran Ceasefire Before July	5 / 19	$2 150	2
US next strikes Iran on...?	5 / 19	$1 889	1
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by January	4 / 19	$291 871	1
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?	4 / 19	$204 207	3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4 / 19	$101 187	1
US Iran Nuclear Deal Before August	4 / 19	$55 995	1
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire Before July 2025	4 / 19	$45 291	2
Will Trump Sanction Russia	4 / 19	$44 001	1
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire Before July	4 / 19	$42 142	1
Will the US Invade Iran by March	4 / 19	$41 155	2
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?	4 / 19	$38 381	3
US Iran Nuclear Deal by May	4 / 19	$25 260	1
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?	4 / 19	$10 198	2
Israel Strikes Iran by March 31 2026	4 / 19	$5 743	1
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire by January 31 2026	3 / 19	$415 862	1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?	3 / 19	$148 784	1
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire Before June	3 / 19	$147 003	2
Will India Invade Pakistan Before June	3 / 19	$73 961	1
Next Country US Strikes	3 / 19	$66 195	5
Another Iran Strike on Israel in October	3 / 19	$64 410	1
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by August	3 / 19	$45 881	2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?	3 / 19	$28 747	1
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	3 / 19	$28 565	1
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3 / 19	$27 386	1
Russian strike on Poland by...?	3 / 19	$27 050	1
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire by April 30 2026	3 / 19	$26 316	2
US strike on Mexico by...?	3 / 19	$20 690	4
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire Before June 2025	3 / 19	$19 567	2
Russia X Ukraine Ceasefire by August	3 / 19	$19 497	1
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?	3 / 19	$10 085	2
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?	3 / 19	$7 587	5
Israel X Hamas Ceasefire by October	3 / 19	$7 543	1
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?	3 / 19	$6 235	3
US Iran Nuclear Deal Before 2027	3 / 19	$5 351	1
Will Israel Invade Lebanon Before September	3 / 19	$5 260	1

Экономика и ФРС 43

Событие	Кошельков	Номинал	Исходов
Who Will Trump Nominate as Fed Chair	16 / 19	$6 686 973	19
Microstrategy Sell Any Bitcoin in 2025	14 / 19	$2 712 329	4
Will There Be Another US Government Shutdown by January	14 / 19	$2 064 949	2
Fed Decision in July	14 / 19	$1 155 693	5
US Government Shutdown by October	11 / 19	$454 560	2
How long will the Government Shutdown last?	11 / 19	$232 834	10
Another US Government Shutdown by February	11 / 19	$203 995	2
Fed Decision in January	10 / 19	$1 524 005	3
Fed Decision in September	10 / 19	$1 523 485	5
Fed Decision in December	10 / 19	$1 186 766	5
Fed Decision in July	9 / 19	$882 354	3
What day will the Government Shutdown end?	9 / 19	$364 388	3
Fed Decision in June	8 / 19	$1 394 246	2
Fed Decision in October	8 / 19	$437 133	5
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?	8 / 19	$74 780	3
US Government Shutdown Before 2025	7 / 19	$1 981 921	2
Fed Decision in March	7 / 19	$926 164	1
Fed Decision in March	7 / 19	$789 418	2
When will the Government shutdown end?	7 / 19	$232 161	5
Who Will Be Confirmed as Fed Chair	7 / 19	$225 402	3
US Government Shutdown in 2025	7 / 19	$45 529	2
Who Will Trump Announce as Next Fed Chair	7 / 19	$16 938	3
Fed Interest Rates January 2025	6 / 19	$757 817	2
US Recession in 2025	6 / 19	$44 997	2
Jerome Powell Out as Fed Chair	6 / 19	$20 397	4
Fed Decision in September?	5 / 19	$161 020	4
How many Fed rate cuts in 2025?	5 / 19	$4 696	4
Trump Imposes Tariff on Semiconductors by December	5 / 19	$2 589	2
Will the Government shutdown end by...?	4 / 19	$171 324	3
Will Microstrategy Hold 500k BTC Before March	4 / 19	$21 388	1
Will Ghislaine Maxwell Cut a Deal With the Feds by August	4 / 19	$21 278	1
Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with before August?	4 / 19	$21 168	7
How many days will the federal government be shut down in 2025?	4 / 19	$10 142	2
Which countries will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for by Feb 1?	4 / 19	$6 381	8
Fed Decision in May 2025	3 / 19	$509 391	2
Fed Interest Rates September 2024	3 / 19	$283 006	1
Fed rate cut by...?	3 / 19	$204 144	1
Fed Interest Rates December 2024	3 / 19	$128 304	2
When will the Government shutdown end?	3 / 19	$95 943	2
Fed Rate Cut	3 / 19	$35 115	1
Will Microstrategy Hold 600k BTC Before June	3 / 19	$22 115	1
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?	3 / 19	$8 615	2
How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?	3 / 19	$7 022	1

Криптовалюты 20

Событие	Кошельков	Номинал	Исходов
Will Trump Create a National Bitcoin Reserve in His First 100 Days	8 / 19	$817 447	2
Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading?	7 / 19	$120 058	4
MegaETH public sale total commitments?	7 / 19	$112 068	6
Trump Putin and Zelensky Meet Together by August	7 / 19	$91 857	2
Will Kanye Launch a Coin in February	6 / 19	$439 441	2
Earnings Mentions Netflix 2026	6 / 19	$384 687	1
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?	5 / 19	$399 971	4
Will Satoshi Move Any Bitcoin in 2025	5 / 19	$315 289	1
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?	5 / 19	$253 001	1
What price will Bitcoin hit in February?	5 / 19	$195 185	3
What price will Bitcoin hit in December?	4 / 19	$170 475	2
Pete Hegseth Out as Secretary of Defense Before July	4 / 19	$29 657	1
What price will Ethereum hit in June?	3 / 19	$209 276	4
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?	3 / 19	$166 198	1
Ethereum All Time High Wen	3 / 19	$129 632	3
Ethereum All Time High by March	3 / 19	$101 219	1
What price will Bitcoin hit by March 31?	3 / 19	$96 960	3
What price will Ethereum hit in February?	3 / 19	$37 972	1
US National Bitcoin Reserve in 2025	3 / 19	$29 327	2
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?	3 / 19	$10 717	1

Культура и спорт 35

Событие	Кошельков	Номинал	Исходов
Epstein Blackmail Files Released in 2025	12 / 19	$460 782	4
Highest Grossing Movie in 2025	10 / 19	$886 483	6
Epstein Client List Released in 2025	10 / 19	$54 523	4
Time 2025 Person of the Year	9 / 19	$401 346	10
GPT-5 released by…?	9 / 19	$202 364	11
Who will be named in newly released Epstein files in 2025?	9 / 19	$183 967	8
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?	8 / 19	$547 203	2
What Day Will GPT 5 Be Released	8 / 19	$45 634	1
Avatar Fire and Ash Opening Weekend Box Office	7 / 19	$642 650	8
What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?	7 / 19	$256 219	2
Superman Opening Weekend Box Office	7 / 19	$66 379	4
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner	7 / 19	$22 349	3
Winter Games 2026: Most Gold Medals	6 / 19	$134 640	1
Top Spotify Artist 2025	6 / 19	$122 176	4
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner	6 / 19	$13 468	1
Gemini 3.0 Released	5 / 19	$512 122	8
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	5 / 19	$344 604	1
Epstein suicide note released by...?	5 / 19	$131 584	3
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2025?	5 / 19	$112 631	2
Which artists will release new albums in 2025?	5 / 19	$102 542	2
Claude Mythos Released	5 / 19	$100 244	9
Gemini 3.0 Flash Released by December	5 / 19	$65 564	6
Wicked for Good Opening Weekend Box Office	5 / 19	$32 106	5
GPT 5.3 Released by February	4 / 19	$420 912	4
Claude 5 released by…?	4 / 19	$250 707	11
Lilo Stitch Opening Weekend Box Office	4 / 19	$111 471	5
GPT-5.6 released by...?	4 / 19	$67 370	5
Third Highest Grossing Movie in 2025	4 / 19	$8 141	1
Mufasa vs Sonic 3 Opening Weekend Box Office	3 / 19	$77 605	1
Will Apple Vision Pro 2 Be Released by December	3 / 19	$62 419	1
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie Opening Weekend Box Office	3 / 19	$41 966	5
Maduro Mugshot Released by Monday	3 / 19	$26 695	3
"Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office	3 / 19	$25 057	4
Zootopia 2 5 Day Opening Box Office	3 / 19	$11 872	2
"Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office	3 / 19	$10 451	3

Прочее 355

Событие	Кошельков	Номинал	Исходов
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?	17 / 19	$2 827 087	23
Will Trump release Epstein files by...?	15 / 19	$1 958 501	5
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?	15 / 19	$1 271 278	20
Netanyahu out by...?	14 / 19	$6 038 801	6
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February	14 / 19	$1 857 992	2
World Cup Winner	14 / 19	$1 113 440	16
US Forces Enter Iran	13 / 19	$5 075 753	8
Will Polymarket US Go Live in 2025	13 / 19	$2 493 952	2
Who will die in Stranger Things: Season 5?	13 / 19	$1 600 116	2
Maduro Out in 2025	13 / 19	$1 590 242	12
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)	13 / 19	$624 383	7
Will the Iranian Regime Fall by March	12 / 19	$1 536 375	1
Will the Iranian Regime Fall by June	12 / 19	$1 418 011	1
Iran closes its airspace by...?	12 / 19	$1 181 728	17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?	12 / 19	$834 839	11
Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?	12 / 19	$686 413	4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?	11 / 19	$1 256 373	7
Nobel Peace Prize 2025	11 / 19	$960 171	1
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	11 / 19	$937 914	1
Will Trump Release the Epstein Files	11 / 19	$856 657	2
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025	11 / 19	$490 268	4
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025	11 / 19	$487 522	2
Iran Agrees to End Enrichment of Uranium by June	11 / 19	$444 260	2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?	11 / 19	$302 408	24
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March	11 / 19	$293 330	2
Will Zelenskyy Wear a Suit Before July	10 / 19	$4 792 922	2
Will the Iranian Regime Fall by April	10 / 19	$1 548 383	1
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January	10 / 19	$1 078 997	2
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup	10 / 19	$892 864	2
Trump Declassifies Ufo Files in 2025	10 / 19	$760 017	1
Will Trump Deploy National Guard in Dc by Monday	10 / 19	$428 220	2
Lord Miles Completes 40 Day Water Fast in the Dessert	10 / 19	$351 722	2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?	10 / 19	$338 233	14
Starmer out by...?	10 / 19	$285 920	8
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June	10 / 19	$250 943	2
US Military Action Against Iran Before July	10 / 19	$140 100	2
Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?	10 / 19	$99 733	6
TikTok sale announced by...?	10 / 19	$52 156	5
What Iranian Demands Will Trump Agree to by June	9 / 19	$570 628	7
What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?	9 / 19	$552 695	8
Will the Iranian Regime Fall by January	9 / 19	$370 525	1
Iran leadership change by...?	9 / 19	$361 722	6
Boxing Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua Third Option Included	9 / 19	$306 032	2
Who Will Be Next Supreme Leader of Iran	9 / 19	$199 359	5
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July	9 / 19	$190 528	1
Who will perform at 2026 Big Game halftime show?	9 / 19	$176 535	6
US Anti Cartel Operation on Foreign Soil by December	9 / 19	$131 213	2
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June	9 / 19	$106 824	2
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?	9 / 19	$104 270	6
Next Prime Minster of Canada	8 / 19	$1 471 539	4
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?	8 / 19	$1 415 836	5
What will Melania say during AI talk on January 16?	8 / 19	$707 999	1
Major Cyberattack on Iran in June	8 / 19	$686 762	2
Clavicular Pregnancy in 2026	8 / 19	$640 163	2
Will Tesla Launch a Driverless Robtotaxi Service Before July	8 / 19	$479 672	1
Will Trump Be in the Wc Champions Photo	8 / 19	$340 308	1
Will Trump Remove Jerome Powell	8 / 19	$279 243	2
US forces in Venezuela by...?	8 / 19	$275 038	6
Israel Military Action Against Iran by Friday	8 / 19	$240 310	2
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?	8 / 19	$222 254	13
Will Seguro Win All of Portugals Districts	8 / 19	$193 337	1
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?	8 / 19	$178 151	7
Israel Military Action Against Iran Before July	8 / 19	$176 880	2
Ufc Max1 Con 2026	8 / 19	$113 758	1
Who will Trump talk to in November?	8 / 19	$106 454	2
Mexico vs. England - More Markets	8 / 19	$82 507	2
What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?	8 / 19	$63 603	14
US Anti Cartel Operation Outside of the US	8 / 19	$48 828	2
Will Trump Meet With Xi Jinping by October	8 / 19	$11 286	1
Tiktok Banned in the US Before May 2025	7 / 19	$2 771 885	1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	7 / 19	$772 303	1
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	7 / 19	$766 178	1
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?	7 / 19	$622 475	10
World Cup: Golden Boot Winner	7 / 19	$611 315	5
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?	7 / 19	$286 044	8
Who will Trump talk to in March?	7 / 19	$200 451	2
US Military Action Against Iran by Saturday	7 / 19	$186 085	1
Will Putin Meet With Trump by First 100 Days	7 / 19	$146 659	2
Lighter Market Cap Fdv One Day After Launch	7 / 19	$100 268	6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?	7 / 19	$98 100	11
Ukraine Agrees to Give Trump Rare Earth Metals Before April	7 / 19	$84 141	2
What day will the Lighter airdrop be?	7 / 19	$72 773	4
Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum Pass	7 / 19	$68 620	2
Will Zohran Mamdani Praise Donald Trump on Friday	7 / 19	$68 514	2
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	7 / 19	$66 453	1
Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?	7 / 19	$48 956	6
New Supreme Leader of Iran by...?	7 / 19	$48 666	7
Which countries will recognize Palestine in 2025?	7 / 19	$47 943	3
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?	7 / 19	$44 454	4
US Forces in Venezuela Again	7 / 19	$43 907	4
Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?	7 / 19	$38 841	2
Who will Trump pardon in 2025?	7 / 19	$38 395	2
Iran full airspace closure by...?	7 / 19	$35 279	8
Will Zelenskyy Wear a Suit Before June	7 / 19	$34 771	2
Will Anyone Be Charged Over Daycare Fraud in Minnesota	7 / 19	$27 062	2
Fact Check Is Tyler Robinson Gay	7 / 19	$17 562	2
Will Eric Adams drop out by...?	7 / 19	$13 622	5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?	7 / 19	$8 023	3
What Day Will Openai Release a New Frontier Model	6 / 19	$505 528	1
Who will Biden pardon?	6 / 19	$392 824	6
1 Searched Person on Google This Year	6 / 19	$372 201	6
Will the Iranian Regime Fall by May	6 / 19	$370 975	2
Will Mark Carney Lose His Seat	6 / 19	$367 009	1
Monad Market Cap Fdv One Day After Launch	6 / 19	$344 983	3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?	6 / 19	$334 717	5
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?	6 / 19	$315 219	7
Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?	6 / 19	$286 396	4
Was Jfk Assassination an Inside Job March	6 / 19	$274 320	1
What will Trump say during inauguration speech?	6 / 19	$227 648	9
Will Tesla Launch a Driverless Robotaxi Service by October	6 / 19	$219 922	1
Will Kabuto 1st Edition Card Hit 100 by December	6 / 19	$172 775	2
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?	6 / 19	$166 335	3
Will Curtis Sliwa Drop Out	6 / 19	$164 333	2
Speaker of the House for the 119th Congress	6 / 19	$157 780	3
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?	6 / 19	$148 953	4
Will Israel Launch a Major Ground Offensive in Lebanon by March	6 / 19	$143 400	1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?	6 / 19	$131 103	7
Which Company Has Best AI Model End of August	6 / 19	$130 208	5
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?	6 / 19	$125 432	4
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?	6 / 19	$91 064	4
What will happen before GTA VI?	6 / 19	$82 592	2
Will Russia Capture Pokrovsk	6 / 19	$75 719	4
Andy Byron Out as Astronomer CEO by Next Friday	6 / 19	$71 920	2
Fact Check Epstein Video Confirmed Fake	6 / 19	$69 995	1
Iran announces new Supreme Leader on...?	6 / 19	$57 680	2
Will Trump Deploy Marines in Response to the La Protests by Friday	6 / 19	$56 155	2
Israel closes its airspace by...?	6 / 19	$55 624	7
Will Mrbeast Raise 40m for Clean Water by August	6 / 19	$53 833	2
Who will be the next Pope?	6 / 19	$50 731	2
Will Eric Adams Drop Out	6 / 19	$44 532	2
Will Trump visit China by...?	6 / 19	$42 721	2
Which Countries Will Recognize Israel by June	6 / 19	$39 945	1
Will Trump Talk to Nicols Maduro by December	6 / 19	$39 754	2
Will Trump Meet With Putin by August	6 / 19	$39 746	2
Who will Trump meet with in August?	6 / 19	$38 423	3
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	6 / 19	$38 247	2
Which Company Has Best AI Model End of 2025	6 / 19	$36 990	5
Who will Trump meet with in 2025?	6 / 19	$36 392	1
Will Trump and Machado Share the Nobel Peace Prize	6 / 19	$33 016	2
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by...?	6 / 19	$32 181	3
Iran Agrees to End Enrichment of Uranium by May	6 / 19	$27 612	2
France vs. Spain - More Markets	6 / 19	$24 048	2
Larger Margin of Victory Zohran Mamdani vs California Referendum	6 / 19	$20 922	1
US announces military support of Kurds by...?	6 / 19	$15 894	2
Will Trump and Elon Publicly Reconcile by Next Friday	6 / 19	$15 669	2
Iran military action against a gulf state on...?	6 / 19	$14 135	3
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?	6 / 19	$12 743	3
Will Rfk Jr Find the Cause of Autism Before November	6 / 19	$10 913	1
Who will leave Trump Administration in 2025?	6 / 19	$9 496	4
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?	6 / 19	$9 333	1
What will Trump say during conference with Putin on August 15?	6 / 19	$8 457	3
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?	6 / 19	$3 018	3
Xi Jinping Out in 2025	5 / 19	$1 540 354	1
Israel Military Action Against Iraq Before November	5 / 19	$966 753	2
Portugal vs. Spain	5 / 19	$911 503	1
Fifwc Ger Par 2026	5 / 19	$671 742	2
Spain vs. Argentina - Exact Score	5 / 19	$619 540	2
US Anti Cartel Ground Operation in Mexico by January	5 / 19	$601 497	1
Will the Iranian Regime Fall in 2025	5 / 19	$496 366	1
Weed Rescheduled in 2025	5 / 19	$402 762	2
Makina public sale total commitments	5 / 19	$395 795	1
US Government Funding Lapse on March	5 / 19	$341 817	2
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?	5 / 19	$321 840	3
Openai Browser by October	5 / 19	$232 182	2
Israeli Forces Enters Lebanon in September	5 / 19	$194 521	2
Who will attend Trump inauguration?	5 / 19	$177 509	5
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?	5 / 19	$176 447	2
Trump Ends Taxes on Tips in First 100 Days	5 / 19	$148 093	1
Which Company Has the Best AI Model End of February	5 / 19	$134 230	4
Trump X Ukraine Mineral Deal Signed Before May	5 / 19	$102 509	2
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?	5 / 19	$97 152	2
US Military Action Against Iran by Sunday	5 / 19	$86 444	1
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?	5 / 19	$85 360	3
Skye Valadez Confirmed Perp	5 / 19	$82 591	1
Who will Trump talk to in January?	5 / 19	$81 114	2
What will Trump say during address to Congress?	5 / 19	$75 016	15
Hyperliquid Daily Fees Above 8m in 2025	5 / 19	$73 922	2
Iran leader end of 2026?	5 / 19	$66 368	2
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday	5 / 19	$63 797	1
Nothing Ever Happens June	5 / 19	$60 471	2
Yoon Arrested by January	5 / 19	$59 117	2
First Song at Super Bowl Lx Halftime Show	5 / 19	$58 940	2
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?	5 / 19	$55 418	3
2026 NBA Champion	5 / 19	$52 667	1
Will Israel Raid Greta Thunbergs Ship by Monday	5 / 19	$45 804	2
Will Trump Win Fifa Peace Prize	5 / 19	$41 595	1
Fide World Blitz Champion	5 / 19	$35 828	3
US Anti Cartel Ground Operation in Mexico by March	5 / 19	$35 038	2
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau Confirmed Relationship by October	5 / 19	$34 364	2
2026 Men's Australian Open Winner	5 / 19	$33 267	3
NBA: LeBron James Next Team	5 / 19	$33 065	4
Kai and Speed beat Minecraft challenge by...?	5 / 19	$32 099	3
Will Elon Musk Unfollow Donald Trump Before July	5 / 19	$26 926	1
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?	5 / 19	$26 116	2
United States vs. Belgium - More Markets	5 / 19	$24 995	2
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?	5 / 19	$20 322	2
Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?	5 / 19	$17 345	4
Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran by December 31 2026	5 / 19	$17 119	2
Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Who Will Win	5 / 19	$17 025	2
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?	5 / 19	$15 290	4
Iran military response by...?	5 / 19	$15 044	2
Iran Agrees to End Enrichment of Uranium by April	5 / 19	$14 102	2
Will Eric Adams Endorse Cuomo	5 / 19	$11 734	2
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?	5 / 19	$9 302	1
Israel Military Action Against Iraq by Friday	5 / 19	$6 214	2
North Korea Missile Test by September	5 / 19	$5 900	2
Super Bowl Champion 2026	5 / 19	$5 032	1
Will the White House Call a Full Lid by 630 Pm June 29 July	5 / 19	$3 521	1
Who will be named in Epstein files by June 30?	5 / 19	$2 976	3
Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	5 / 19	$2 859	3
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?	5 / 19	$2 208	2
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?	5 / 19	$586	2
Next Chancellor of Germany	4 / 19	$363 681	3
Trump Declassifies Jfk Files in First Week	4 / 19	$272 804	1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?	4 / 19	$263 103	2
FIFA Club World Cup Winner	4 / 19	$262 355	3
2025 January Hottest on Record	4 / 19	$246 847	1
January 2025 Temperature Increase C	4 / 19	$221 371	4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	4 / 19	$190 393	1
World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages	4 / 19	$174 863	2
Was Kanye Hacked	4 / 19	$153 601	1
Will 2025 Be the Hottest Year on Record	4 / 19	$146 415	1
Which continent will win the World Cup?	4 / 19	$143 266	4
Will Russia Abandon Syrian Naval Base Before April 2025	4 / 19	$128 572	2
California Redistricting Referendum Passes	4 / 19	$102 985	1
Who will recognize Syrian Government by March 31?	4 / 19	$100 077	1
Wicked vs Avatar Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend	4 / 19	$95 637	1
US Military Action Against Iran in April	4 / 19	$81 281	1
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by...?	4 / 19	$79 426	1
Which companies will run ads during Super Bowl LIX?	4 / 19	$78 776	2
US Recognizes Machado as Leader of Venezuela by January	4 / 19	$71 347	1
Superbowl Champion 2025	4 / 19	$65 366	7
Will Elon Apologize to Trump by Monday	4 / 19	$63 206	2
Jesus Christ Return Before 2027 Odds 5 Monday Night 12 1 Am	4 / 19	$61 221	2
Will Openai Release a New Frontier Model by December	4 / 19	$60 750	3
Venezuela leader end of 2026?	4 / 19	$52 683	3
Google Gemini 3 Score on Lmarena by December	4 / 19	$49 282	2
Will Tesla Launch a Driverless Robotaxi Service Before August	4 / 19	$46 570	1
Will Greta Thunberg Enter Gaza by Next Friday	4 / 19	$46 352	1
Democratic Sweep	4 / 19	$46 267	2
Avatar Fire and Ash Total Domestic Gross by January	4 / 19	$45 258	4
Will Putin Meet With Trump Before October	4 / 19	$39 775	1
Iran Coup Attempt by June	4 / 19	$36 755	1
Iran Agrees to End Enrichment of Uranium by July	4 / 19	$34 699	1
Gold Missing From Fort Knox	4 / 19	$34 415	1
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?	4 / 19	$33 220	2
Will Mikie Sherrill Win	4 / 19	$30 606	1
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?	4 / 19	$29 220	3
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?	4 / 19	$26 774	1
How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?	4 / 19	$26 440	2
Openai Browser in 2025	4 / 19	$24 602	1
What will Trump say during his Independence Day remarks on July 4?	4 / 19	$23 866	1
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?	4 / 19	$22 104	3
Openai Implements Ads on Llm by December	4 / 19	$19 656	1
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?	4 / 19	$17 025	1
Israel Military Response Against Iran in October	4 / 19	$16 773	2
Will Russia Capture Kurakhove Before December	4 / 19	$16 338	1
Nothing Ever Happens December	4 / 19	$15 736	1
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?	4 / 19	$15 601	2
How Many Gold Cards Will Trump Sell in 2025	4 / 19	$15 179	2
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?	4 / 19	$15 034	2
Confirmed Case of Hantavirus in US by May	4 / 19	$14 242	2
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?	4 / 19	$13 986	3
Will Either Cuomo or Mamdani Announce They Are Running for Mayor on Non Democrat Slate	4 / 19	$13 415	2
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	4 / 19	$13 278	2
2026 Winter Olympics Most Medals	4 / 19	$12 007	2
Another Successful Houthis Attack Shipping in July	4 / 19	$11 412	2
Nothing Ever Happens World Leader Out Edition	4 / 19	$9 819	1
Will Hakeem Jeffries Endorse Mamdani	4 / 19	$6 665	2
Will Trump Attend Ufc	4 / 19	$6 102	2
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by...?	4 / 19	$5 907	2
Israeli Forces Cross the Litani River by June	4 / 19	$5 772	1
U.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?	4 / 19	$5 624	1
Ukraine Agrees to US Approved Peace Plan by Thursday	4 / 19	$5 219	2
Google Maps Renames Gulf of America Before March	4 / 19	$5 003	2
Putin out as President of Russia by...?	3 / 19	$463 701	1
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?	3 / 19	$429 816	1
Biden Drops Out After Debate	3 / 19	$405 073	1
Is Djt Real	3 / 19	$392 194	1
Eurovision Winner 2025	3 / 19	$255 077	1
Will Trump Apologize to Elon	3 / 19	$242 224	1
Will Putin Meet With Zelenskyy by August	3 / 19	$240 730	1
Eurovision Winner 2026	3 / 19	$213 680	3
Will Andrew Cuomo Drop Out	3 / 19	$195 315	1
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?	3 / 19	$180 123	2
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?	3 / 19	$179 206	1
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?	3 / 19	$156 236	1
English Premier League Winner	3 / 19	$130 445	1
Which Company Has Best AI Model End of July	3 / 19	$129 520	4
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?	3 / 19	$126 167	1
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?	3 / 19	$97 626	1
Will Trump Pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July	3 / 19	$89 501	1
Ilhan Omar Town Hall Attack Staged	3 / 19	$86 822	1
Israel Withdraws From Gaza in 2025	3 / 19	$85 240	1
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?	3 / 19	$84 498	1
Will Trump Sign Mineral Deal Without Zelenskyy Apology	3 / 19	$78 671	1
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by...?	3 / 19	$73 790	2
2025 US Open Winner (M)	3 / 19	$65 501	3
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	3 / 19	$59 935	1
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?	3 / 19	$56 444	1
2024 August Hottest on Record	3 / 19	$55 160	1
Will Russia Capture Kupiansk	3 / 19	$50 170	2
Elon Musk of Tweets June	3 / 19	$48 452	1
Will Any AI Model Reach 1500 on Chatbot Arena by Dec	3 / 19	$47 847	1
Which Coalition Will Form the Next German Government	3 / 19	$45 905	1
Fifwc Usa Aus 2026	3 / 19	$44 740	2
Will Elon Musk Buy Msnbc Before April 2025	3 / 19	$43 203	1
Will Russia capture Siversk by...?	3 / 19	$42 997	2
Israel Military Action Against Iran in July	3 / 19	$41 216	1
Which Company Has the Best Math AI Model End of April	3 / 19	$40 928	4
July 2025 Temperature Increase C	3 / 19	$37 365	1
Ukraine Signs Peace Deal With Russia in 2025	3 / 19	$36 440	1
Next Government of Canada	3 / 19	$35 303	2
Will Russia Abandon Syrian Naval Base Before 2025	3 / 19	$34 589	1
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	3 / 19	$34 139	1
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?	3 / 19	$34 083	4
College Football Undefeated 15 0 Team	3 / 19	$32 926	2
What will Powell say during March Press Conference?	3 / 19	$30 591	4
Tulsi Gabbard Out as United States Director of National Intelligence Before July	3 / 19	$28 643	1
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?	3 / 19	$26 013	1
Where Will Trump and Putin Meet Next	3 / 19	$24 047	1
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Как работает когорта

Cohven работает как трекер кошельков Polymarket. Сервис следит за когортой стабильно прибыльных адресов, читает их публичную активность в сети Polygon и заново собирает капитал, цену входа, вес позиции и проверяемый ончейн-PnL по каждому кошельку. Вы видите позиции и сами выставляете ордера. Cohven не касается ваших средств и не хранит ключи, поэтому он не работает как копи-бот.

Почему когорта сильнее одного кита

Один прибыльный кошелёк может выиграть на удаче. Любой трекер китов Polymarket, который зеркалит один адрес, отдаёт вам не только его преимущество, но и всю его дисперсию. Cohven вместо этого ждёт согласия. Когда сразу несколько отслеживаемых кошельков встают на один исход YES или NO, согласие набирает кворум и позиция считается консенсусной. Умные деньги на Polymarket заметны только задним числом. Кворум показывает их, пока рынок ещё торгуется.

Вес позиции вместо голых долларов

Позиция на 20 000 долларов значит одно в кошельке на 700 000 и совсем другое в кошельке на 50 000. Cohven измеряет каждую позицию долей от капитала её владельца, и эта доля называется весом позиции. Вес позволяет пересчитать любую сделку когорты под ваш счёт, в шейрах и в долларах, при любом размере депозита.

Гэп

Гэп построчно показывает расхождение вашего портфеля с когортой. Видно, какие консенсусные позиции у вас уже есть, какие набраны слишком мелко, а какие вы пропустили целиком. Cohven считает каждую строку по текущему стакану, поэтому цифра на экране совпадает с той, что вы заплатите.

Что спрашивают трейдеры

Как посмотреть позиции других на Polymarket?

Polymarket рассчитывается в сети Polygon, и каждая сделка попадает в публичный реестр, поэтому позиции любого адреса доступны всем. Cohven делает это массово по отобранной когорте и превращает в цену входа, подразумеваемую вероятность, вес позиции и проверяемый PnL.

Выгодно ли копирование сделок на Polymarket?

Копируя один кошелёк, вы забираете и всю его дисперсию. Отдельный кит способен месяцами идти в минус, хотя на длинной дистанции его ROI выглядит отлично. Cohven отвечает на более узкий вопрос. Он показывает, где сходятся сразу несколько прибыльных кошельков, а согласие даёт лучшую базовую вероятность, чем любой одиночный адрес.

Законно ли отслеживать чужие кошельки Polymarket?

Чтение публичного блокчейна не нарушает правил. Cohven не публикует приватных данных, не спрашивает доступы к Polymarket и не просит прав на ваш аккаунт.

Чем Cohven отличается от копи-бота Polymarket?

Копи-бот требует ваши ключи и сам отправляет ордера. Cohven работает только на чтение. Он показывает когорту, кворум и гэп, а решение о сделке и её размере принимаете вы.

Есть ли у Cohven доступ к моим средствам?

Нет. Cohven работает некастодиально. У него нет ключей, нет баланса и нет прав на ордера, он никогда не отправляет сделку за вас.

Кого считают китом на Polymarket?

Китом обычно называют любой адрес с крупным номиналом. Cohven смотрит не столько на размер, сколько на проверяемую историю, поэтому лидерборд ранжирует когорту по ончейн-PnL и винрейту, а не по одному только балансу.

Как найти прибыльные кошельки Polymarket?

Можно открыть таблицу лидеров Polymarket и проверять каждый адрес по блокчейну вручную. Cohven избавляет вас от этой работы. Он ведёт когорту, обновляет PnL ежедневно и показывает лучших трейдеров Polymarket по проверяемому результату.

Сколько стоит Cohven?

Доступ начинается от 29 долларов в месяц, на тарифе Pro до 30 кошельков, оплата проходит в USDC.

Посмотреть когорту вживую

Когорта торгует каждый день. Откройте трекер, чтобы видеть, как складывается консенсус, читать гэп против своего портфеля и подгонять размер позиции под свой счёт.

Показать позиции когорты

Cohven не связан с Polymarket. Позиции восстановлены по публичной ончейн-активности отслеживаемых адресов. Ничто на этой странице не является финансовым советом.