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occasionalAwareness. Polymarket Wallet Profile: Equity, Verified P&L and Consensus Record

As of Oct 9, 2026, Polymarket wallet occasionalAwareness holds $634,720 of equity with +$7,757,673 of all-time P&L rebuilt from its on-chain history. Inside the Cohven cohort it took part in 198 events where at least two tracked wallets agreed, and 198 of its 356 resolved consensus legs closed on its side.

0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532bProfile on Polymarket ↗Address on Polygonscan ↗

Equity
$634,720
All-time P&L
+$7,757,673
Realised on consensus
+$566,204
Consensus legs on side
198 / 356
Volume traded
$40,786,349
Markets traded
1,647
Wallets in event
198

P&L curve

Cumulative P&L of the wallet by day, rebuilt from every trade, split, merge and redemption on Polygon.

Dec 9, 2021+$7,757,673Oct 9, 2026

Largest consensus events

Events where this wallet and at least one other tracked wallet took the same side, ranked by the notional this wallet committed. Each row opens its trades in that event.

EventLegsNotional in consensusRealisedLast fill
Presidential Election Winner 20249$2,281,060−$12,380Nov 6, 2024Trades
Democratic Nominee 20246$1,578,147+$69,530Aug 6, 2024Trades
Who will be inaugurated as President? 5$1,506,911+$86,450Jan 20, 2025Trades
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?1$626,510+$18,812Jul 8, 2025Trades
Next Chancellor of Germany? 3$555,465+$10,556May 6, 2025Trades
Presidential Election Popular Vote Winner 20245$531,200+$123,034Nov 12, 2024Trades
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?1$468,890+$1,269Oct 4, 2024Trades
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?1$465,286+$2,196Jan 21, 2025Trades
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?1$455,008+$1,054May 9, 2025
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?2$428,362+$3,647Oct 17, 2024Trades
Who Will Trump Nominate as Fed Chair3$404,784−$784Mar 4, 2026Trades
Romania Presidential Election Winner3$391,993−$104,326May 18, 2025Trades
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?1$376,296+$22,554Mar 3, 2026Trades
Israel military action against Iraq before November?1$373,083+$2,357Oct 29, 2024Trades
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?2$361,040+$10,489Sep 6, 2024Trades
Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Who Will Win2$358,755−$15,455Nov 16, 2024Trades
Will Biden finish his term?1$335,575+$27,810Jan 20, 2025Trades
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?1$320,434−$23,114Aug 17, 2024Trades
Was Trump hacked?2$317,877+$8,779Jan 19, 2025Trades
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? 2$309,950+$6,250Jul 2, 2025Trades

Recently resolved

The latest consensus events that resolved, with the result for this wallet.

EventLegsNotional in consensusRealisedResolved
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?1$55−$55Oct 1, 2026
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?1$15,951+$13,944Sep 30, 2026Trades
Berlin State Election Winner1$162+$33Sep 21, 2026
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner1$103+$3Sep 21, 2026
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?2$20,646+$4,648Sep 7, 2026Trades
Clacton by Election Winner1$5,596+$404Aug 14, 2026
World Cup Winner 6$114,280−$7,356Jul 20, 2026Trades
Spain vs. Argentina - Exact Score2$126,340+$3,660Jul 19, 2026
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?1$625+$1,500Jul 9, 2026
Trump out as President by June 30?1$66,451+$5,223Jul 1, 2026Trades
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?2$938−$723Jul 1, 2026
Starmer out by...?6$53,541+$9,294Jun 22, 2026Trades
Makerfield by Election Winner3$44,971+$6,004Jun 19, 2026Trades
What Will Spacexs Public Ticker Be1$1,960+$40Jun 12, 2026
Claude Mythos released by…?2$13,635+$885Jun 9, 2026
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?1$2,632+$232May 28, 2026Trades
US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?1$99,900+$100May 1, 2026
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?1$2,004+$743Apr 1, 2026Trades
Oscars 2026 Best Actor Winner1$10,886−$10,886Mar 16, 2026
Baden-Württemberg Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place5$51,036+$7,331Mar 14, 2026Trades
Who Will Trump Nominate as Fed Chair3$404,784−$784Mar 4, 2026Trades
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?1$376,296+$22,554Mar 4, 2026Trades
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?1$280+$113Mar 1, 2026
US government shutdown Saturday?1$123,272+$1,341Feb 4, 2026Trades
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?1$16,400+$2,833Feb 1, 2026Trades
Xi Jinping out in 2025?1$93,000+$7,000Jan 1, 2026
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by ___?2$30,789+$2,305Jan 1, 2026Trades
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?1$12,440+$17,466Jan 1, 2026Trades
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?1$11,585−$9,159Jan 1, 2026Trades
Who will leave Trump Administration in 2025?1$4,500+$500Jan 1, 2026

Questions traders ask

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Are these real Polymarket wallets?

Yes. Every address is a public Polygon address that trades on Polymarket. Cohven reads its activity from the chain and rebuilds positions, entries and P&L; nothing here is self-reported.

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How does a wallet get into the cohort?

Account owners on Cohven pick wallets by verified on-chain P&L and consistency over months. The public cohort is the union of the wallets tracked across those accounts, with the owners’ own wallets excluded.

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Why show entry against the cohort?

The gap between what one wallet paid and what the cohort paid on average tells you whether it led or followed. Leaders enter early at low prices; followers pay the market the leaders created.

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Can I track my own list of wallets?

Yes. Paid plans let you assemble a cohort of up to 30 Polymarket wallets, and consensus, entries and the Gap are recomputed for that cohort.

See the cohort live

The cohort trades every day. Open the tracker to watch consensus form, read the Gap against your own portfolio and size each position to your account.

Show me the cohort

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Wallet data comes from public on-chain activity on Polygon. Past results of any wallet do not guarantee future ones. Nothing on this page is financial advice.