Cohven

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Whale Tracker: Cohort Entry, Holders and Result

As of Nov 6, 2024, 11 of 43 tracked Polymarket wallets tracked by Cohven held a side in “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?”, one of the markets inside Presidential Election Winner 2024, with $3,645,210 of notional over 2,846 fills. The market resolved Yes on Nov 6, 2024, and the cohort booked +$60,135 in verified P&L on it.

Updated Nov 6, 2024

Wallets on this market
11 / 43
Notional committed
$3,645,210
Realised P&L
+$60,135
Last book price
Yes 100¢ · No 0¢

Where the cohort filled, day by day

Every dot is one day of cohort trading on a side of this market, priced at the volume-weighted average of the fills for the day and sized by share volume. The dotted line only joins the dots.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Feb, 2024Mar, 2024Apr, 2024May, 2024Jun, 2024Jul, 2024Aug, 2024Sep, 2024Oct, 2024Nov, 2024Donald Trump Yes 2024-01-05 41¢ 3Donald Trump Yes 2024-01-06 40¢ 6Donald Trump Yes 2024-01-07 41¢ 9Donald Trump Yes 2024-03-14 51¢ 4Donald Trump Yes 2024-03-15 51¢ 2Donald Trump Yes 2024-03-21 51¢ 7Donald Trump Yes 2024-04-03 48¢ 1Donald Trump Yes 2024-04-10 46¢ 2Donald Trump Yes 2024-04-14 45¢ 2Donald Trump Yes 2024-04-16 45¢ 4Donald Trump Yes 2024-04-21 43¢ 3Donald Trump Yes 2024-05-15 48¢ 10Donald Trump Yes 2024-05-16 50¢ 21Donald Trump Yes 2024-05-17 50¢ 20Donald Trump Yes 2024-05-18 51¢ 18Donald Trump Yes 2024-05-19 52¢ 54Donald Trump Yes 2024-05-20 52¢ 5Donald Trump Yes 2024-05-23 54¢ 2Donald Trump Yes 2024-06-28 63¢ 52Donald Trump Yes 2024-06-29 64¢ 2Donald Trump Yes 2024-06-30 62¢ 8Donald Trump Yes 2024-07-01 63¢ 161Donald Trump Yes 2024-07-02 65¢ 77Donald Trump Yes 2024-07-03 62¢ 15Donald Trump Yes 2024-07-09 62¢ 1Donald Trump Yes 2024-07-13 67¢ 3Donald Trump Yes 2024-07-14 72¢ 4Donald Trump Yes 2024-07-15 72¢ 9Donald Trump Yes 2024-07-16 72¢ 104Donald Trump Yes 2024-07-19 61¢ 1Donald Trump Yes 2024-07-21 63¢ 27Donald Trump Yes 2024-07-23 64¢ 1Donald Trump Yes 2024-08-27 50¢ 24Donald Trump Yes 2024-09-06 49¢ 32Donald Trump Yes 2024-09-07 50¢ 1Donald Trump Yes 2024-09-08 51¢ 5Donald Trump Yes 2024-09-09 52¢ 1Donald Trump Yes 2024-09-11 50¢ 37Donald Trump Yes 2024-09-12 49¢ 4Donald Trump Yes 2024-09-14 49¢ 4Donald Trump Yes 2024-09-15 50¢ 13Donald Trump Yes 2024-09-17 49¢ 1Donald Trump Yes 2024-09-18 48¢ 41Donald Trump Yes 2024-10-04 50¢ 8Donald Trump Yes 2024-10-07 54¢ 1Donald Trump Yes 2024-10-08 53¢ 6Donald Trump Yes 2024-10-19 60¢ 1Donald Trump Yes 2024-10-23 63¢ 2Donald Trump Yes 2024-10-24 60¢ 3Donald Trump Yes 2024-10-25 64¢ 3Donald Trump Yes 2024-10-26 65¢ 1Donald Trump Yes 2024-10-28 67¢ 2Donald Trump Yes 2024-10-29 66¢ 22Donald Trump Yes 2024-11-04 57¢ 6Donald Trump Yes 2024-11-05 62¢ 14Donald Trump Yes 2024-11-06 98¢ 360ON SIDEDonald Trump No 2024-01-06 59¢ 1Donald Trump No 2024-01-07 55¢ 4Donald Trump No 2024-01-08 54¢ 2Donald Trump No 2024-01-12 52¢ 1Donald Trump No 2024-01-22 50¢ 2Donald Trump No 2024-01-23 46¢ 48Donald Trump No 2024-02-12 24¢ 1Donald Trump No 2024-02-13 47¢ 1Donald Trump No 2024-05-20 46¢ 2Donald Trump No 2024-05-21 46¢ 4Donald Trump No 2024-05-22 45¢ 1Donald Trump No 2024-05-24 45¢ 1Donald Trump No 2024-05-30 44¢ 8Donald Trump No 2024-06-07 45¢ 21Donald Trump No 2024-06-28 37¢ 74Donald Trump No 2024-07-02 34¢ 1Donald Trump No 2024-07-13 41¢ 1Donald Trump No 2024-07-14 31¢ 5Donald Trump No 2024-07-18 40¢ 8Donald Trump No 2024-07-21 38¢ 14Donald Trump No 2024-08-27 51¢ 1Donald Trump No 2024-09-22 53¢ 2Donald Trump No 2024-10-02 51¢ 5Donald Trump No 2024-10-07 47¢ 2Donald Trump No 2024-10-10 44¢ 2Donald Trump No 2024-10-16 40¢ 20Donald Trump No 2024-10-17 39¢ 2Donald Trump No 2024-10-18 38¢ 2Donald Trump No 2024-10-19 40¢ 5Donald Trump No 2024-10-20 41¢ 5Donald Trump No 2024-10-21 39¢ 1Donald Trump No 2024-10-22 36¢ 1Donald Trump No 2024-10-23 37¢ 22Donald Trump No 2024-10-24 1¢ 4Donald Trump No 2024-10-26 35¢ 1Donald Trump No 2024-10-31 37¢ 1039Donald Trump No 2024-11-01 41¢ 2Donald Trump No 2024-11-02 41¢ 3Donald Trump No 2024-11-03 45¢ 5Donald Trump No 2024-11-04 41¢ 37Donald Trump No 2024-11-05 39¢ 129Donald Trump No 2024-11-06 2¢ 126AGAINST

Each side of the market

Holders counts the tracked wallets standing on that side. Entry is the cost-weighted average price they paid.

SideHoldersAverage entryNotionalRealisedResolution
Yes9 / 4373¢$3,127,247+$35,996on side
No5 / 4319¢$517,963+$24,139against

Wallets on this market

Every tracked wallet on this market with its side, entry and result. Each row opens the wallet profile and its trades in the whole event.

WalletSideAverage entryNotionalRealised
occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532bYes59¢$1,086,600+$9,014Trades in this event
0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a0xe639…082aYes73¢$805,211−$2,921Trades in this event
qmarktea20xed10…d2e5Yes97¢$625,530+$21,255Trades in this event
tsybka0xd5cc…dea4Yes99¢$415,781+$3,419Trades in this event
0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd490xad96…d498Yes100¢$87,033+$437Trades in this event
allenzzz0xe749…f771Yes64¢$68,850+$2,719Trades in this event
scottilicious0x000d…758eYes48¢$33,780+$1,955Trades in this event
Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8No31¢$6,500+$1,610Trades in this event
Desy-17251921852340xb4f2…7862Yes60¢$2,565+$71Trades in this event
mr.ozi0x614d…1546Yes50¢$1,896+$47Trades in this event
pantomime0xd039…2532No39¢$578−$37Trades in this event
The whole event, every market the cohort heldOpen this market on Polymarket ↗Elections and politics

Questions traders ask

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What is the difference between a market and an event on Polymarket?

An event groups the markets about one question, for example every candidate in an election. A market is one of them with its own YES and NO sides. Cohven shows the cohort on both levels: this page is the market, the event page adds the other markets.

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Why does the cohort entry differ from the current price?

The tracked wallets bought earlier, often when the outcome was priced lower. The gap between their average entry and the book price is what a late follower would pay for the same position.

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Can I see which wallet bought first?

Yes. Every wallet in the table opens its trades in this event day by day, and the fills chart marks how many wallets were active on each day.

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Is this a recommendation?

No. Cohven shows what verified tracked wallets hold and what they paid. Whether to follow, and at what size, is a decision the application helps you size to your own account.

See the cohort live

The cohort trades every day. Open the tracker to watch consensus form, read the Gap against your own portfolio and size each position to your account.

Show me the cohort

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Positions come from public on-chain activity of the tracked addresses. Nothing on this page is financial advice.