Cohven

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Polymarket Whale Tracker: Cohort Entry, Holders and Result

As of Sep 16, 2026, 15 of 43 tracked Polymarket wallets tracked by Cohven held a side in “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?”, one of the markets inside Fed Decision in September?, with $831,799 of notional over 2,274 fills. The market resolved No on Sep 16, 2026, and the cohort booked −$15,130 in verified P&L on it.

Updated Sep 16, 2026

Wallets on this market
15 / 43
Notional committed
$831,799
Realised P&L
−$15,130
Last book price
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Where the cohort filled, day by day

Every dot is one day of cohort trading on a side of this market, priced at the volume-weighted average of the fills for the day and sized by share volume. The dotted line only joins the dots.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Aug, 2026Sep, 2026No change Yes 2026-07-07 69¢ 19No change Yes 2026-07-10 55¢ 1No change Yes 2026-07-11 55¢ 3No change Yes 2026-07-19 60¢ 4No change Yes 2026-07-29 42¢ 2No change Yes 2026-07-30 44¢ 22No change Yes 2026-07-31 44¢ 65No change Yes 2026-08-04 47¢ 15No change Yes 2026-08-05 49¢ 5No change Yes 2026-08-06 52¢ 5No change Yes 2026-08-07 58¢ 11No change Yes 2026-08-08 63¢ 1No change Yes 2026-08-09 63¢ 1No change Yes 2026-08-10 58¢ 39No change Yes 2026-08-11 58¢ 45No change Yes 2026-08-12 61¢ 71No change Yes 2026-08-13 71¢ 142No change Yes 2026-08-14 70¢ 7No change Yes 2026-08-16 74¢ 27No change Yes 2026-08-17 71¢ 5No change Yes 2026-08-18 71¢ 1No change Yes 2026-08-19 70¢ 7No change Yes 2026-08-20 73¢ 77No change Yes 2026-08-21 70¢ 3No change Yes 2026-08-24 68¢ 67No change Yes 2026-08-25 66¢ 32No change Yes 2026-08-26 67¢ 18No change Yes 2026-08-27 68¢ 33No change Yes 2026-08-28 56¢ 118No change Yes 2026-08-29 53¢ 18No change Yes 2026-08-30 51¢ 137No change Yes 2026-08-31 46¢ 28No change Yes 2026-09-01 41¢ 28No change Yes 2026-09-02 41¢ 33No change Yes 2026-09-03 54¢ 29No change Yes 2026-09-04 49¢ 17No change Yes 2026-09-05 48¢ 23No change Yes 2026-09-07 49¢ 3No change Yes 2026-09-08 44¢ 73No change Yes 2026-09-09 47¢ 74No change Yes 2026-09-10 41¢ 63No change Yes 2026-09-11 19¢ 66No change Yes 2026-09-12 21¢ 6No change Yes 2026-09-13 21¢ 16No change Yes 2026-09-14 14¢ 252No change Yes 2026-09-15 11¢ 34No change Yes 2026-09-16 12¢ 28AGAINSTNo change No 2026-08-03 58¢ 1No change No 2026-08-04 55¢ 1No change No 2026-08-06 46¢ 14No change No 2026-08-10 36¢ 5No change No 2026-08-11 43¢ 4No change No 2026-08-12 40¢ 10No change No 2026-08-13 33¢ 9No change No 2026-08-17 27¢ 22No change No 2026-08-19 29¢ 1No change No 2026-08-20 29¢ 8No change No 2026-08-21 29¢ 2No change No 2026-08-28 48¢ 24No change No 2026-09-02 58¢ 8No change No 2026-09-03 46¢ 37No change No 2026-09-04 52¢ 7No change No 2026-09-05 50¢ 11No change No 2026-09-06 50¢ 3No change No 2026-09-07 50¢ 58No change No 2026-09-09 53¢ 7No change No 2026-09-10 59¢ 36No change No 2026-09-11 78¢ 39No change No 2026-09-13 78¢ 2No change No 2026-09-14 85¢ 4No change No 2026-09-15 89¢ 145No change No 2026-09-16 88¢ 42ON SIDE

Each side of the market

Holders counts the tracked wallets standing on that side. Entry is the cost-weighted average price they paid.

SideHoldersAverage entryNotionalRealisedResolution
Yes12 / 4349¢$430,522−$73,313against
No10 / 4378¢$401,277+$58,183on side

Wallets on this market

Every tracked wallet on this market with its side, entry and result. Each row opens the wallet profile and its trades in the whole event.

WalletSideAverage entryNotionalRealised
mr.ozi0x614d…1546Yes62¢$128,498−$4,733Trades in this event
allenzzz0xe749…f771No90¢$111,326+$12,913Trades in this event
pup10x54b5…4b31Yes39¢$81,815+$25,665Trades in this event
Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8Yes50¢$80,920−$19,697Trades in this event
scottilicious0x000d…758eYes47¢$56,400−$56,400Trades in this event
ProfessionalPunter0x22e4…ef1cYes49¢$23,350−$11,771Trades in this event
Jest550xd34b…0004Yes33¢$22,505+$1,951Trades in this event
gopfan20xf2f6…5817No88¢$21,492+$2,931Trades in this event
tourists0xc6dd…4b9fYes52¢$18,848−$5,134Trades in this event
paddaa0x60a9…5a71Yes48¢$7,000−$2,026Trades in this event
Tigerofthehood0x9c26…74bcYes56¢$5,620−$1,181Trades in this event
Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8Yes49¢$4,420+$623Trades in this event
bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869Yes57¢$1,140−$610Trades in this event
russell1103200x1186…051bNo88¢$880+$120Trades in this event
The-Joker0x9aeb…2729Yes54¢$7+$0Trades in this event
The whole event, every market the cohort heldOpen this market on Polymarket ↗Economy and the Fed

Questions traders ask

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What is the difference between a market and an event on Polymarket?

An event groups the markets about one question, for example every candidate in an election. A market is one of them with its own YES and NO sides. Cohven shows the cohort on both levels: this page is the market, the event page adds the other markets.

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Why does the cohort entry differ from the current price?

The tracked wallets bought earlier, often when the outcome was priced lower. The gap between their average entry and the book price is what a late follower would pay for the same position.

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Can I see which wallet bought first?

Yes. Every wallet in the table opens its trades in this event day by day, and the fills chart marks how many wallets were active on each day.

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Is this a recommendation?

No. Cohven shows what verified tracked wallets hold and what they paid. Whether to follow, and at what size, is a decision the application helps you size to your own account.

See the cohort live

The cohort trades every day. Open the tracker to watch consensus form, read the Gap against your own portfolio and size each position to your account.

Show me the cohort

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Positions come from public on-chain activity of the tracked addresses. Nothing on this page is financial advice.