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The-Joker. Polymarket Wallet Profile: Equity, Verified P&L and Consensus Record

As of Oct 10, 2026, Polymarket wallet The-Joker holds $48,886 of equity with +$159,786 of all-time P&L rebuilt from its on-chain history. Inside the Cohven cohort it took part in 348 events where at least two tracked wallets agreed, and 492 of its 762 resolved consensus legs closed on its side.

0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729Profile on Polymarket ↗Address on Polygonscan ↗

Equity
$48,886
All-time P&L
+$159,786
Realised on consensus
+$94,336
Consensus legs on side
492 / 762
Volume traded
$5,215,488
Markets traded
2,415
Wallets in event
348

P&L curve

Cumulative P&L of the wallet by day, rebuilt from every trade, split, merge and redemption on Polygon.

Oct 20, 2025+$159,786Oct 10, 2026

Largest consensus events

Events where this wallet and at least one other tracked wallet took the same side, ranked by the notional this wallet committed. Each row opens its trades in that event.

EventLegsNotional in consensusRealisedLast fill
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?10$117,524+$1,789Jun 16, 2026Trades
US forces enter Iran by..?6$103,880+$919Apr 8, 2026Trades
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner4$68,577+$839Aug 5, 2026
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?4$64,120+$5,740Jun 2, 2026Trades
Iran strikes Israel on...?6$55,812+$4,193Mar 16, 2026Trades
GPT-5.6 released by...?9$52,889+$1,409Jul 9, 2026Trades
US x Iran ceasefire by...?7$51,591−$242Apr 8, 2026Trades
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?5$45,159+$601Apr 16, 2026Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?2$44,384+$1,083Mar 24, 2026Trades
Who Will Trump Nominate as Fed Chair4$41,629+$435Mar 4, 2026Trades
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner3$40,207+$3,923Aug 12, 2026
Fed Decision in September?4$36,277+$3,739Sep 16, 2026Trades
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?5$34,714+$118Sep 4, 2026Trades
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?1$33,229+$234Jul 21, 2026Trades
Fed Decision in July1$32,558+$4,136Jul 28, 2026Trades
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?4$32,353−$8,610May 7, 2026Trades
Claude 5 released by…?8$31,657+$5,346Jun 9, 2026Trades
US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?2$29,958+$129May 1, 2026Trades
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?5$28,649−$1,046Sep 22, 2026
Los Angeles Mayoral Election2$28,277+$1,705Jun 15, 2026Trades

Recently resolved

The latest consensus events that resolved, with the result for this wallet.

EventLegsNotional in consensusRealisedResolved
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 20262$3,452+$6Oct 9, 2026
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá1$766+$649Oct 8, 2026
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?2$7,262+$661Oct 6, 2026Trades
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?2$342+$1,658Oct 6, 2026
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner1$2,520+$70Oct 5, 2026Trades
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?6$11,450+$1,796Oct 1, 2026Trades
Another GTA VI trailer released by...?2$4,207+$1,332Oct 1, 2026Trades
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?1$468+$28Oct 1, 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?1$37−$37Oct 1, 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of September?2$22,241+$2,695Sep 30, 2026Trades
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?1$2,129+$594Sep 30, 2026Trades
Trump renames AI by...?1$2,007−$1,981Sep 29, 2026
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?1$830+$382Sep 25, 2026
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?1$393+$604Sep 25, 2026
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?5$28,649−$1,046Sep 22, 2026
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?3$21,288+$403Sep 21, 2026Trades
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner2$2,977−$2,977Sep 21, 2026
Berlin State Election Winner1$1,306+$145Sep 21, 2026
Israel closes its airspace by...?1$859+$522Sep 20, 2026
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?3$3,209+$3,462Sep 18, 2026Trades
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)3$2,900+$1,947Sep 18, 2026Trades
Fed Decision in September?4$36,277+$3,739Sep 16, 2026Trades
Fed rate hike in 2026?1$4,081+$610Sep 16, 2026
Fed rate hike by...?3$1,936+$249Sep 16, 2026Trades
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?5$9,182+$3,378Sep 12, 2026Trades
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?5$34,714+$118Sep 4, 2026Trades
GPT-6 released by…?4$16,845−$175Sep 4, 2026Trades
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?8$16,368+$1,100Sep 1, 2026Trades
Spider Man Brand New Day Total Domestic Gross by August1$5,339−$118Sep 1, 2026Trades
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?2$3,789+$69Sep 1, 2026

Questions traders ask

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Are these real Polymarket wallets?

Yes. Every address is a public Polygon address that trades on Polymarket. Cohven reads its activity from the chain and rebuilds positions, entries and P&L; nothing here is self-reported.

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How does a wallet get into the cohort?

Account owners on Cohven pick wallets by verified on-chain P&L and consistency over months. The public cohort is the union of the wallets tracked across those accounts, with the owners’ own wallets excluded.

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Why show entry against the cohort?

The gap between what one wallet paid and what the cohort paid on average tells you whether it led or followed. Leaders enter early at low prices; followers pay the market the leaders created.

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Can I track my own list of wallets?

Yes. Paid plans let you assemble a cohort of up to 30 Polymarket wallets, and consensus, entries and the Gap are recomputed for that cohort.

See the cohort live

The cohort trades every day. Open the tracker to watch consensus form, read the Gap against your own portfolio and size each position to your account.

Show me the cohort

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Wallet data comes from public on-chain activity on Polygon. Past results of any wallet do not guarantee future ones. Nothing on this page is financial advice.