Conflict and diplomacy. Polymarket Events the Cohort Traded, Page 5

As of Oct 10, 2026, 221 Polymarket events in Conflict and diplomacy have at least two of the 43 wallets tracked by Cohven on the same side. Sorted by the number of wallets, then by notional. Page 5 of 5.

Event	Wallets	Notional	Outcomes	Resolved
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	2 / 43	$359,353	1	Jun 17, 2026
Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?	2 / 43	$85,950	1	Jan 1, 2025
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	2 / 43	$81,841	1	Jul 1, 2026
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?	2 / 43	$58,183	1	Nov 1, 2024
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	2 / 43	$43,910	1
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?	2 / 43	$42,560	1	Jan 1, 2025
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	2 / 43	$35,516	1	May 13, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire by Friday?	2 / 43	$24,976	1	Jun 21, 2025
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?	2 / 43	$21,518	1
Nuclear weapon detonation by...?	2 / 43	$18,519	1	Mar 11, 2026
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	2 / 43	$15,121	1	Jan 1, 2026
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition	2 / 43	$12,393	1	Feb 28, 2026
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?	2 / 43	$9,323	1	Mar 16, 2025
Houthi military action against Israel by...?	2 / 43	$8,073	1	Apr 4, 2026
Will Pakistan invade India before July?	2 / 43	$7,895	1	Jul 1, 2025
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?	2 / 43	$7,381	1	Oct 18, 2024
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?	2 / 43	$6,696	1	Dec 23, 2025
Israel declares war on Iran in October?	2 / 43	$6,421	1	Nov 1, 2024
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	2 / 43	$5,666	1	Jul 1, 2026
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?	2 / 43	$5,223	1	Jul 1, 2026
Israel military action against Yemen by...?	2 / 43	$5,087	2	Jul 1, 2026

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Positions come from public on-chain activity of the tracked addresses. Nothing on this page is financial advice.