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Tenebrus7 on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket Wallet Trades Against the Cohort

As of Oct 11, 2026, Polymarket wallet Tenebrus7 held 2 sides in Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? with $341,609 of notional over 1,673 fills. Cohven compares its entry to the average entry of the 22 tracked wallets in this event. The event resolved on undefined NaN, NaN, and this wallet booked +$NaN on it.

Updated Oct 11, 2026

Notional committed
$341,609
Realised P&L
+$NaN
Sides held
2
Wallets in event
22 / 43

This wallet against the cohort, day by day

Dots are the fill days of this wallet on each side, priced at the volume-weighted average for the day. Compare them to the cohort line on the event page.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Apr, 2026May, 2026Jun, 2026Jul, 2026Aug, 2026Sep, 2026Oct, 2026Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-02 78¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-09 64¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-14 59¢ 6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-16 52¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-18 45¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-19 42¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-20 37¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-22 42¢ 12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-23 42¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-26 36¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-29 35¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-30 35¢ 10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-31 43¢ 6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-03 47¢ 7Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-04 44¢ 24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-05 46¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-07 51¢ 38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-08 60¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-10 71¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-11 71¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-12 66¢ 15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-13 66¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-14 69¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-15 69¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-17 78¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-19 69¢ 13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-21 66¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-23 68¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-25 65¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-27 66¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-29 68¢ 10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-08 77¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-11 73¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-12 71¢ 11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-13 71¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-15 71¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-16 70¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-18 68¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-19 71¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-20 69¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-21 75¢ 8Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-22 73¢ 16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-23 80¢ 19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-24 83¢ 52Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-25 81¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-26 81¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-27 81¢ 7Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-29 83¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-30 82¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-31 82¢ 18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-01 83¢ 11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-05 84¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-07 84¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-08 82¢ 6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-09 82¢ 6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-10 81¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-11 81¢ 6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-12 80¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-13 84¢ 25Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-14 85¢ 12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-15 88¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-16 88¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-19 86¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-21 87¢ 47Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-23 86¢ 10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-26 88¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-29 85¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-07 88¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-08 85¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-09 84¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-11 84¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-13 80¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-15 82¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-16 77¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-17 73¢ 6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-18 71¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-25 74¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-27 77¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-29 75¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-30 74¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-02 82¢ 6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-03 79¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-04 80¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-05 84¢ 16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-06 83¢ 15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-07 81¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-08 83¢ 36Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-09 83¢ 15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-10 84¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-11 83¢ 73Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-12 82¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-13 83¢ 15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-14 83¢ 78Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-16 83¢ 18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-17 83¢ 47Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-18 83¢ 10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-19 83¢ 14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-20 83¢ 11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-23 83¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-24 83¢ 73Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-25 83¢ 109Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-30 86¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-01 84¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-02 84¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-04 85¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-07 85¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-08 85¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-11 85¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-13 83¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-14 84¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-15 83¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-17 83¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-18 84¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-20 84¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-23 86¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-25 86¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-26 85¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-28 85¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-29 85¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-30 86¢ 6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-01 85¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-02 85¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-05 85¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-07 84¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-10 84¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-11 84¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-03-21 57¢ 7Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-03-22 55¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-03-28 57¢ 19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-03-29 56¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-12 36¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-13 34¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-14 33¢ 11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-15 29¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-16 31¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-17 30¢ 16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-20 30¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-21 29¢ 17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-29 32¢ 20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-05-17 28¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-05-18 30¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-05-21 26¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-05-23 26¢ 12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-06-25 13¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-06-29 14¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-09 17¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-10 17¢ 9Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-11 15¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-20 26¢ 104Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-21 27¢ 7Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-22 29¢ 11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-23 29¢ 105Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-24 29¢ 56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-25 27¢ 19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-26 22¢ 15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-27 21¢ 56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-28 22¢ 13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-29 24¢ 8Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-30 26¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-08-01 25¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-08-02 21¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-08-07 17¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-09-03 14¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-09-05 14¢ 2

Every side this wallet held

Entry is what this wallet paid on average, cohort entry is the cost-weighted average of every tracked wallet on the same side.

MarketSideWallet entryCohort entrySharesNotionalRealisedResolution
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No77¢76¢374,206$287,489+$NaNagainst
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes26¢28¢209,900$54,120+$NaNagainst

Other tracked wallets in this event

The wallets that stood on a side of this event with the same or the opposite view.

Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa80xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd490xad96…d4980xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a0xe639…082aTigerofthehood0x9c26…74bcmr.ozi0x614d…1546paddaa0x60a9…5a71pup10x54b5…4b31tourists0xc6dd…4b9ftsybka0xd5cc…dea4thoodr0x3eae…e2edaff30xe52c…6924Jest550xd34b…0004Ryxon210x3dca…3c13dzsibenaja0x59a5…afc8pantomime0xd039…2532tja0xe1b3…1426The-Joker0x9aeb…2729seal70x2b9d…adc0ProfessionalPunter0x22e4…ef1cscottilicious0x000d…758e
The event page with the whole cohortWallet profile

Questions traders ask

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Are these real Polymarket wallets?

Yes. Every address is a public Polygon address that trades on Polymarket. Cohven reads its activity from the chain and rebuilds positions, entries and P&L; nothing here is self-reported.

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How does a wallet get into the cohort?

Account owners on Cohven pick wallets by verified on-chain P&L and consistency over months. The public cohort is the union of the wallets tracked across those accounts, with the owners’ own wallets excluded.

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Why show entry against the cohort?

The gap between what one wallet paid and what the cohort paid on average tells you whether it led or followed. Leaders enter early at low prices; followers pay the market the leaders created.

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Can I track my own list of wallets?

Yes. Paid plans let you assemble a cohort of up to 30 Polymarket wallets, and consensus, entries and the Gap are recomputed for that cohort.

See the cohort live

The cohort trades every day. Open the tracker to watch consensus form, read the Gap against your own portfolio and size each position to your account.

Show me the cohort

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Wallet data comes from public on-chain activity on Polygon. Past results of any wallet do not guarantee future ones. Nothing on this page is financial advice.