Tenebrus7 on US strikes Iran by..? Polymarket Wallet Trades Against the Cohort
As of Feb 28, 2026, Polymarket wallet Tenebrus7 held 65 sides in US strikes Iran by..? with $815,953 of notional over 4,501 fills. Cohven compares its entry to the average entry of the 24 tracked wallets in this event. The event resolved on Feb 28, 2026, and this wallet booked −$33,474 on it.
Updated Feb 28, 2026
This wallet against the cohort, day by day
Dots are the fill days of this wallet on each side, priced at the volume-weighted average for the day. Compare them to the cohort line on the event page.
Every side this wallet held
Entry is what this wallet paid on average, cohort entry is the cost-weighted average of every tracked wallet on the same side.
| Market | Side | Wallet entry | Cohort entry | Shares | Notional | Realised | Resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 77¢ | 96,000 | $22,145 | +$7,043 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 95¢ | 40,803 | $38,479 | +$549 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 72¢ | 102,150 | $82,905 | −$37,739 | against |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 76¢ | 119,892 | $83,861 | −$6,699 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 92¢ | 80,501 | $75,547 | −$14,220 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 95¢ | 25,819 | $25,135 | −$1,182 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 88¢ | 20,000 | $18,402 | +$1,312 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 36¢ | 58¢ | 32,713 | $11,720 | +$2,709 | against |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 47¢ | 32,993 | $18,333 | −$6,129 | against |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 80¢ | 40,105 | $31,025 | +$641 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | 2,100 | $2,032 | +$68 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 82¢ | 51,977 | $44,696 | −$15,695 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | 4,000 | $3,837 | +$162 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 93¢ | 6,500 | $6,028 | +$372 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 94¢ | 20,916 | $18,207 | +$2,173 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | No | 60¢ | 56¢ | 2,000 | $1,200 | +$0 | against |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 64¢ | 63¢ | 8,907 | $5,716 | +$87 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 84¢ | 27,436 | $24,333 | +$585 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 80¢ | 9,311 | $7,630 | −$3,011 | against |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 88¢ | 5,000 | $600 | +$1,900 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 95¢ | 10,416 | $9,754 | +$662 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 89¢ | 11,635 | $11,102 | +$533 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 89¢ | 29,615 | $26,780 | −$2,719 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 57¢ | 57¢ | 29,565 | $16,714 | −$44 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 94¢ | 14,100 | $12,792 | +$762 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 47¢ | 23,313 | $9,415 | +$1,056 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 80¢ | 20,236 | $17,293 | +$1,416 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | 3,000 | $2,947 | +$36 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 82¢ | 7,500 | $1,140 | +$2,272 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | 5,690 | $5,412 | +$277 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 79¢ | 14,014 | $13,223 | −$5,476 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | 11,183 | $10,176 | +$37 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 92¢ | 2,718 | $914 | −$11 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 19¢ | 86,480 | $9,734 | +$12,714 | against |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 90¢ | 18,251 | $17,559 | −$7,959 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 93¢ | 18,000 | $16,598 | +$563 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 93¢ | 11,231 | $10,531 | +$432 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 76¢ | 11,156 | $9,066 | −$3,870 | against |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | Yes | 36¢ | 40¢ | 11,253 | $4,067 | +$873 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 18¢ | 44,931 | $3,910 | +$794 | against |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | 11,353 | $10,927 | +$386 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 45¢ | 11,225 | $3,434 | +$840 | against |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | 12,740 | $11,958 | −$3,455 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 78¢ | 4,000 | $3,210 | +$30 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | 78,440 | $10,683 | +$16,555 | against |
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | 10,526 | $10,021 | +$376 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | 23,067 | $5,154 | +$6,308 | against |
| US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | 4,000 | $3,905 | −$655 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 45¢ | 37¢ | 6,500 | $2,920 | −$1,437 | against |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | 960 | $893 | +$67 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 27¢ | 27¢ | 21,191 | $5,748 | +$533 | against |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 78¢ | 4,000 | $3,160 | −$653 | against |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 81¢ | 3,506 | $2,770 | −$1,899 | against |
| US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | 2,000 | $1,942 | +$52 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 3¢ | 17,857 | $1,131 | −$8 | against |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 91¢ | 1,500 | $1,300 | +$125 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | 24,609 | $2,781 | +$8,297 | against |
| US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 49¢ | 43 | $22 | +$21 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | 21,000 | $1,208 | +$4,268 | against |
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | 30,000 | $630 | +$59 | against |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | 21,037 | $624 | +$699 | against |
| US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026? | Yes | 55¢ | 64¢ | 666 | $364 | +$2 | on side |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | 2,900 | $162 | +$569 | against |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | 437 | $48 | +$170 | against |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 19¢ | 5 | $0 | +$2 | against |
Other tracked wallets in this event
The wallets that stood on a side of this event with the same or the opposite view.
Questions traders ask
+Are these real Polymarket wallets?
Yes. Every address is a public Polygon address that trades on Polymarket. Cohven reads its activity from the chain and rebuilds positions, entries and P&L; nothing here is self-reported.
+How does a wallet get into the cohort?
Account owners on Cohven pick wallets by verified on-chain P&L and consistency over months. The public cohort is the union of the wallets tracked across those accounts, with the owners’ own wallets excluded.
+Why show entry against the cohort?
The gap between what one wallet paid and what the cohort paid on average tells you whether it led or followed. Leaders enter early at low prices; followers pay the market the leaders created.
+Can I track my own list of wallets?
Yes. Paid plans let you assemble a cohort of up to 30 Polymarket wallets, and consensus, entries and the Gap are recomputed for that cohort.
See the cohort live
The cohort trades every day. Open the tracker to watch consensus form, read the Gap against your own portfolio and size each position to your account.
Show me the cohortCohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Wallet data comes from public on-chain activity on Polygon. Past results of any wallet do not guarantee future ones. Nothing on this page is financial advice.