Cohven
RUEN

Публичный трек-рекорд

На 22 окт 2026 3 316 разрешённых позиций Polymarket, которые держали 3 и больше из 43 отслеживаемых Cohven кошельков, закрылись на стороне когорты в 71% случаев. На этой странице все разрешённые рынки Polymarket, где минимум 3 из 43 отслеживаемых кошельков держали одну сторону одновременно. Ничего не отобрано руками: позиция здесь потому, что её держала когорта, чем бы она ни разрешилась. Реализованный P&L это сумма по держащим кошелькам из их ончейн сделок и redemption. Каждая строка ведёт на рынок в Polymarket и на каждый кошелёк в Polygonscan.

Разрешённых позиций консенсуса

3 316

Разрешилось на стороне когорты

71%

Реализованный P&L когорты

+$12 343 933

Недель в выборке

120

Отслеживаемых кошельков

43

Скачать CSV

Все 3 316 позиций с 1 июл 2024, одна строка на позицию, адреса кошельков включены.

Накопленный реализованный P&L

Сумма реализованного P&L по держащим кошелькам для каждой позиции консенсуса, по неделе разрешения рынка. Складываются кошельки очень разного размера, поэтому кривая показывает направление, а не результат отдельного счёта.

1 июл 2024+$12 343 93319 окт 2026

По неделям

Каждая строка это одна ISO-неделя разрешений. На стороне значит рынок разрешился на стороне, которую держала когорта.

НеделяПозицийНа сторонеПротивВложеноРеализованный P&LНакопленно
19 окт 2026532$2 905−$890+$12 343 933
12 окт 20261789$222 577−$24 144+$12 344 823
5 окт 2026372512$2 563 357+$51 866+$12 368 967
28 сен 2026594613$3 203 875+$78 742+$12 317 101
21 сен 2026452619$3 060 057+$281 617+$12 238 359
14 сен 2026322111$10 636 530+$331 357+$11 956 742
7 сен 2026413110$1 001 287+$28 296+$11 625 385
31 авг 20261068917$2 549 338+$92 943+$11 597 088
24 авг 2026987028$592 731+$51 524+$11 504 146
17 авг 2026877314$2 739 534+$90 944+$11 452 621
10 авг 2026584711$2 477 324−$91 426+$11 361 677
3 авг 2026483216$2 765 668+$60 883+$11 453 103
27 июл 202639309$11 995 481+$34 766+$11 392 221
20 июл 202623167$5 416 694+$45 688+$11 357 454
13 июл 202621174$1 859 645+$54 611+$11 311 766
6 июл 2026573918$15 027 275+$559 084+$11 257 155
29 июн 2026866422$12 372 125+$378 070+$10 698 071
22 июн 202615114$2 277 608+$54 515+$10 320 001
15 июн 2026513417$12 565 644+$486 403+$10 265 486
8 июн 2026543915$4 315 327+$70 745+$9 779 083
1 июн 2026593722$22 335 067+$278 958+$9 708 338
25 мая 2026402317$2 733 766−$61 927+$9 429 380
18 мая 202625214$4 838 769+$151 893+$9 491 307
11 мая 2026674126$5 861 267+$70 991+$9 339 414
4 мая 202623149$14 314 559+$126 048+$9 268 423
27 апр 2026744628$23 234 840+$151 174+$9 142 375
20 апр 2026362016$10 294 480+$114 151+$8 991 201
13 апр 2026332112$816 395−$11 020+$8 877 050
6 апр 2026332013$21 090 508−$36 936+$8 888 070
30 мар 2026936924$16 951 897+$475 822+$8 925 005
23 мар 202616115$5 070 468+$25 196+$8 449 184
16 мар 202622139$12 434 292+$145 297+$8 423 987
9 мар 202622175$9 577 953+$168 367+$8 278 690
2 мар 2026452916$22 707 188+$679 250+$8 110 323
23 фев 2026855332$4 703 911−$153 015+$7 431 074
16 фев 2026342311$1 277 084+$65 202+$7 584 089
9 фев 2026392613$3 514 913+$245 032+$7 518 887
2 фев 202642366$7 943 419+$76 275+$7 273 855
26 янв 2026604911$18 144 255+$441 598+$7 197 581
19 янв 2026301911$4 748 576+$83 817+$6 755 982
12 янв 202622193$669 338+$13 337+$6 672 165
5 янв 202631274$15 008 060+$102 153+$6 658 828
29 дек 202519915247$15 913 788+$480 057+$6 556 675
22 дек 2025372215$10 019 635+$218 755+$6 076 619
15 дек 2025311912$4 129 005+$208 098+$5 857 864
8 дек 2025422418$7 145 708+$245 354+$5 649 765
1 дек 2025673235$7 307 618+$63 376+$5 404 411
24 ноя 20251385$1 296 476+$5 494+$5 341 035
17 ноя 202520911$686 447+$73 114+$5 335 541
10 ноя 202522139$1 435 099−$153 752+$5 262 428
3 ноя 202527189$6 280 783+$486 578+$5 416 180
27 окт 2025513318$8 818 184+$249 610+$4 929 602
20 окт 2025251312$867 847+$65 174+$4 679 992
13 окт 20251385$933 240+$3 763+$4 614 818
6 окт 202519118$2 321 558+$77 621+$4 611 055
29 сен 202534259$2 396 070+$107 355+$4 533 434
22 сен 2025972$104 987+$1 751+$4 426 078
15 сен 202517107$7 274 965+$391 672+$4 424 327
8 сен 2025972$734 802+$70 451+$4 032 656
1 сен 202527216$2 084 685+$71 784+$3 962 205
25 авг 2025743$570 352+$13 385+$3 890 420
18 авг 20251165$165 890+$20 026+$3 877 036
11 авг 202516115$491 066+$6 123+$3 857 009
4 авг 202517125$367 485+$41 789+$3 850 887
28 июл 202530255$5 404 994+$209 178+$3 809 098
21 июл 2025963$202 171−$6 607+$3 599 920
14 июл 2025862$120 241+$22 660+$3 606 526
7 июл 2025761$7 945 612+$187 635+$3 583 867
30 июн 2025493811$8 270 408+$150 362+$3 396 232
23 июн 202520146$4 405 418+$128 612+$3 245 869
16 июн 202514104$5 965 186+$9 348+$3 117 257
9 июн 2025281711$1 423 278−$166 700+$3 107 909
2 июн 2025271611$5 779 892+$305 585+$3 274 610
26 мая 202516133$709 048+$17 037+$2 969 025
19 мая 202514104$2 313 208−$279 180+$2 951 988
12 мая 20251367$272 968−$6 089+$3 231 168
5 мая 202530228$7 819 873+$213 412+$3 237 257
28 апр 2025564412$6 056 961+$602 136+$3 023 844
21 апр 2025321$1 982 746+$82 345+$2 421 708
14 апр 2025211$321 474+$1 675+$2 339 363
7 апр 2025835$144 955+$28 912+$2 337 688
31 мар 202525223$2 518 503+$91 998+$2 308 776
24 мар 2025642$425 431−$22 042+$2 216 778
17 мар 20251275$4 344 051+$68 119+$2 238 820
10 мар 202515114$1 017 587+$113 477+$2 170 700
3 мар 2025853$471 521+$13 114+$2 057 224
24 фев 202517134$1 558 985−$12 330+$2 044 110
17 фев 2025440$1 322 183+$22 315+$2 056 440
10 фев 202516124$1 044 998+$99 991+$2 034 124
3 фев 2025633$438 419−$50 825+$1 934 133
27 янв 20251091$3 946 414+$138 012+$1 984 958
20 янв 202536324$15 544 666+$470 471+$1 846 946
13 янв 2025633$492 970+$28 923+$1 376 475
6 янв 2025541$437 104+$15 478+$1 347 552
30 дек 202416133$1 501 304+$89 424+$1 332 074
23 дек 2024211$2 162 677+$11 532+$1 242 649
16 дек 202416106$941 734+$5 116+$1 231 118
9 дек 2024110$239 629+$18 883+$1 226 001
2 дек 2024431$3 494 437+$37 899+$1 207 118
25 ноя 2024220$469 840+$5 305+$1 169 219
18 ноя 2024642$1 545 725−$3 376+$1 163 913
11 ноя 20241073$2 088 437+$418 642+$1 167 289
4 ноя 202433258$9 553 163+$127 875+$748 647
28 окт 2024752$1 466 385+$16 916+$620 772
21 окт 2024651$115 156+$11 020+$603 857
14 окт 2024550$1 768 363+$33 071+$592 837
7 окт 2024871$733 870+$66 353+$559 766
30 сен 202411101$1 389 312−$48 474+$493 413
16 сен 2024761$2 063 064+$40 336+$541 888
9 сен 2024761$563 631+$2 452+$501 552
2 сен 2024330$1 346 635+$20 486+$499 100
26 авг 202414122$2 163 390+$56 174+$478 614
19 авг 2024880$1 711 100−$5 222+$422 439
12 авг 2024110$34 238+$73+$427 661
5 авг 202416124$3 919 580+$165 229+$427 588
29 июл 2024321$1 288 120+$191 358+$262 359
22 июл 2024330$407 906+$34 789+$71 001
15 июл 2024220$325 800+$13 751+$36 212
8 июл 2024110$79 776+$2 797+$22 460
1 июл 2024110$379 188+$19 663+$19 663

Позиции, последние 8 недель

Последние недели полностью. Вход когорты это средняя цена, взвешенная по вложенному, которую заплатили держащие кошельки. Более старые недели в CSV.

19 окт 20265 · 3 на стороне · 2 против · −$890
РазрешёнРынокСторонаДержалиВход когортыИтогРеализованный P&LКошельки
22 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?Yes349¢против−$247#1#2#3
22 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?No497¢на стороне−$1#1#2#3#4
20 окт 2026Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?No379¢против−$803#1#2#3
19 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 19?No396¢на стороне+$40#1#2#3
19 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?Yes355¢на стороне+$121#1#2#3
12 окт 202617 · 8 на стороне · 9 против · −$24 144
РазрешёнРынокСторонаДержалиВход когортыИтогРеализованный P&LКошельки
18 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?Yes367¢на стороне+$296#1#2#3
18 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 18?Yes314¢против−$50#1#2#3
18 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?Yes314¢против−$65#1#2#3
18 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 18?Yes326¢против−$134#1#2#3
17 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 17?No397¢на стороне+$16#1#2#3
17 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 17?No382¢на стороне+$70#1#2#3
16 окт 2026Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?No446¢против−$26 458#1#2#3#4
16 окт 2026Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes383¢против−$1 725#1#2#3
16 окт 2026Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No398¢на стороне+$387#1#2#3
16 окт 2026US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No891¢на стороне+$5 550#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8
16 окт 2026US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?No35¢против+$13#1#2#3
16 окт 2026Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?No587¢на стороне+$698#1#2#3#4#5
15 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 15?Yes327¢против−$119#1#2#3
15 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 15?Yes33¢против−$25#1#2#3
13 окт 2026Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes384¢на стороне+$70#1#2#3
13 окт 2026US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?No31¢против−$32#1#2#3
12 окт 2026US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes394¢на стороне−$2 637#1#2#3
5 окт 202637 · 25 на стороне · 12 против · +$51 866
РазрешёнРынокСторонаДержалиВход когортыИтогРеализованный P&LКошельки
10 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?No318¢против+$22#1#2#3
10 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 10?No393¢на стороне+$14#1#2#3
9 окт 2026Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?No392¢на стороне+$408#1#2#3
9 окт 2026Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?No487¢на стороне+$1 028#1#2#3#4
9 окт 2026Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No391¢на стороне+$168#1#2#3
9 окт 2026Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes344¢против−$13 423#1#2#3
9 окт 2026Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No372¢на стороне+$11 876#1#2#3
9 окт 2026Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No1095¢на стороне+$6 070#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9#10
8 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 8?Yes32¢против+$0#1#2#3
8 окт 2026Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes480¢на стороне+$1 093#1#2#3#4
6 окт 2026Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No1194¢на стороне+$21 659#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9#10#11
6 окт 2026Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes314¢против+$4 066#1#2#3
6 окт 2026Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No590¢на стороне+$15#1#2#3#4#5
6 окт 2026Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Yes380¢на стороне−$194#1#2#3
6 окт 2026Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Yes472¢на стороне−$439#1#2#3#4
5 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?Yes335¢против+$101#1#2#3
5 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?No491¢на стороне+$132#1#2#3#4
5 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 5?Yes358¢против−$104#1#2#3
5 окт 2026Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No397¢на стороне+$775#1#2#3
5 окт 2026Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No1097¢на стороне+$13 530#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9#10
5 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 4?Yes381¢на стороне+$64#1#2#3
5 окт 2026Will Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes346¢на стороне+$1 769#1#2#3
5 окт 2026Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes416¢против−$5 310#1#2#3#4
5 окт 2026Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes352¢против−$1 663#1#2#3
5 окт 2026Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No660¢на стороне+$11 063#1#2#3#4#5#6
5 окт 2026Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes463¢на стороне+$6 313#1#2#3#4
5 окт 2026Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes678¢против−$40 981#1#2#3#4#5#6
5 окт 2026Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No564¢на стороне+$30 159#1#2#3#4#5
5 окт 2026Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes577¢на стороне+$10 022#1#2#3#4#5
5 окт 2026Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No382¢против−$41 604#1#2#3
5 окт 2026Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes449¢против−$4 970#1#2#3#4
5 окт 2026Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No976¢на стороне+$21 256#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9
5 окт 2026Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes891¢на стороне+$10 958#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8
5 окт 2026Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No455¢против−$398#1#2#3#4
5 окт 2026Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes398¢на стороне+$1 297#1#2#3
5 окт 2026Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes398¢на стороне+$755#1#2#3
5 окт 2026Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No591¢на стороне+$6 340#1#2#3#4#5
28 сен 202659 · 46 на стороне · 13 против · +$78 742
РазрешёнРынокСторонаДержалиВход когортыИтогРеализованный P&LКошельки
4 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 4?No490¢на стороне+$42#1#2#3#4
4 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 4?No396¢на стороне+$15#1#2#3
4 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?No372¢на стороне+$225#1#2#3
3 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3?No497¢на стороне+$29#1#2#3#4
3 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?Yes317¢на стороне+$308#1#2#3
2 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 2?No396¢на стороне+$25#1#2#3
2 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 2?No398¢на стороне+$15#1#2#3
2 окт 2026Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 2?No354¢на стороне+$221#1#2#3
2 окт 2026Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No398¢на стороне+$1 176#1#2#3
1 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 1?No396¢на стороне+$46#1#2#3
1 окт 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?No381¢на стороне+$148#1#2#3
1 окт 2026US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No494¢на стороне+$910#1#2#3#4
1 окт 2026Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No497¢на стороне+$1 255#1#2#3#4
1 окт 2026Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?No378¢на стороне+$1 297#1#2#3
1 окт 2026Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?No387¢на стороне+$638#1#2#3
1 окт 2026Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes323¢против−$1 935#1#2#3
1 окт 2026Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No391¢на стороне+$1 747#1#2#3
1 окт 2026Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes310¢против−$998#1#2#3
1 окт 2026Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No496¢на стороне+$1 823#1#2#3#4
1 окт 2026Iran leadership change by September 30?No598¢на стороне+$2 054#1#2#3#4#5
1 окт 2026Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No998¢на стороне+$14 349#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9
1 окт 2026Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No397¢на стороне+$213#1#2#3
1 окт 2026Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No499¢на стороне+$246#1#2#3#4
1 окт 2026Trump out as President by September 30?No399¢на стороне+$2 963#1#2#3
1 окт 2026Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?No397¢на стороне−$107#1#2#3
1 окт 2026Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes351¢против+$88#1#2#3
1 окт 2026Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No475¢на стороне+$2 823#1#2#3#4
1 окт 2026Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No368¢на стороне+$767#1#2#3
1 окт 2026Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes316¢против−$3 279#1#2#3
1 окт 2026Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No394¢на стороне+$420#1#2#3
1 окт 2026US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes325¢против−$782#1#2#3
1 окт 2026US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No776¢на стороне+$3 995#1#2#3#4#5#6#7
1 окт 2026Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No498¢на стороне+$797#1#2#3#4
1 окт 2026Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No496¢на стороне+$1 337#1#2#3#4
1 окт 2026Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes316¢против+$9 474#1#2#3
1 окт 2026Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No796¢на стороне+$12 178#1#2#3#4#5#6#7
1 окт 2026US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes320¢против−$724#1#2#3
1 окт 2026US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No599¢на стороне+$2 309#1#2#3#4#5
1 окт 2026US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No698¢на стороне+$698#1#2#3#4#5#6
30 сен 2026US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes381¢на стороне+$1 190#1#2#3
30 сен 2026Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes591¢на стороне+$10 026#1#2#3#4#5
30 сен 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes491¢на стороне+$4 599#1#2#3#4
30 сен 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No39¢против−$862#1#2#3
30 сен 2026Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No390¢на стороне+$471#1#2#3
30 сен 2026Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes32¢против−$999#1#2#3
30 сен 2026Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes442¢на стороне+$6 510#1#2#3#4
30 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 30?Yes330¢на стороне+$8#1#2#3
30 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 30?Yes37¢против−$12#1#2#3
30 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 29?No397¢на стороне+$7#1#2#3
29 сен 2026Trump renames AI by September 30?Yes447¢на стороне+$472#1#2#3#4
29 сен 2026Trump renames AI by September 30?No451¢против+$365#1#2#3#4
29 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 29?No390¢на стороне+$49#1#2#3
29 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 29?No398¢на стороне+$3#1#2#3
29 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 29?Yes360¢на стороне+$123#1#2#3
29 сен 2026EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?Yes392¢на стороне+$12#1#2#3
29 сен 2026EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?Yes394¢на стороне+$31#1#2#3
28 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?No321¢против−$71#1#2#3
28 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 28?Yes320¢против+$10#1#2#3
28 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 28?No397¢на стороне+$6#1#2#3
21 сен 202645 · 26 на стороне · 19 против · +$281 617
РазрешёнРынокСторонаДержалиВход когортыИтогРеализованный P&LКошельки
27 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 27?Yes350¢против−$87#1#2#3
27 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 27?Yes38¢против−$13#1#2#3
27 сен 2026US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?No316¢против+$39#1#2#3
26 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 26?Yes374¢на стороне+$8#1#2#3
26 сен 2026Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Yes327¢против−$411#1#2#3
26 сен 2026Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?No395¢на стороне+$94#1#2#3
26 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 26?Yes314¢против−$1#1#2#3
26 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 26?No367¢на стороне+$132#1#2#3
25 сен 2026Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes466¢на стороне+$4 122#1#2#3#4
25 сен 2026Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes340¢на стороне+$1 938#1#2#3
24 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 24?Yes313¢против+$5#1#2#3
24 сен 2026Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes392¢на стороне+$5 393#1#2#3
23 сен 2026Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No397¢на стороне+$2 505#1#2#3
23 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 23?No378¢на стороне+$173#1#2#3
23 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on September 23?No485¢на стороне+$182#1#2#3#4
23 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 23?No392¢на стороне+$130#1#2#3
23 сен 2026Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?Yes320¢против−$1 516#1#2#3
22 сен 2026Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes332¢против+$923#1#2#3
22 сен 2026Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes456¢против−$13 258#1#2#3#4
22 сен 2026US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No377¢против−$13 884#1#2#3
22 сен 2026US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes371¢на стороне+$1 015#1#2#3
22 сен 2026US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes348¢на стороне+$530#1#2#3
22 сен 2026US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes364¢на стороне+$819#1#2#3
22 сен 2026US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No577¢против−$29 533#1#2#3#4#5
22 сен 2026Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?Yes387¢на стороне+$36#1#2#3
22 сен 2026Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?No32¢против+$32#1#2#3
22 сен 2026Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Yes489¢на стороне−$1 698#1#2#3#4
22 сен 2026Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No43¢против+$181#1#2#3#4
22 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on September 22?No399¢на стороне+$6#1#2#3
22 сен 2026US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes412¢против−$385#1#2#3#4
22 сен 2026US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No588¢на стороне+$2 568#1#2#3#4#5
21 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 21?No395¢на стороне+$9#1#2#3
21 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 21?No392¢на стороне+$100#1#2#3
21 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 21?Yes342¢на стороне+$258#1#2#3
21 сен 2026Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes1680¢на стороне+$323 437#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9#10#11#12#13#14#15#16
21 сен 2026Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No326¢против+$1 294#1#2#3
21 сен 2026Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes35¢против−$5 437#1#2#3
21 сен 2026Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes324¢против−$1 150#1#2#3
21 сен 2026Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No391¢на стороне+$475#1#2#3
21 сен 2026Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes599¢на стороне+$5 393#1#2#3#4#5
21 сен 2026Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes465¢на стороне+$430#1#2#3#4
21 сен 2026Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No395¢на стороне+$981#1#2#3
21 сен 2026Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes427¢против−$2 209#1#2#3#4
21 сен 2026Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes584¢на стороне−$908#1#2#3#4#5
21 сен 2026Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No530¢против−$1 098#1#2#3#4#5
14 сен 202632 · 21 на стороне · 11 против · +$331 357
РазрешёнРынокСторонаДержалиВход когортыИтогРеализованный P&LКошельки
20 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20?No495¢на стороне+$42#1#2#3#4
20 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?No373¢против−$1 143#1#2#3
20 сен 2026Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes772¢на стороне+$22 875#1#2#3#4#5#6#7
20 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 20?Yes36¢против−$5#1#2#3
19 сен 2026Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 19?Yes362¢на стороне+$88#1#2#3
18 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 18?Yes328¢против−$18#1#2#3
18 сен 2026Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes469¢на стороне−$906#1#2#3#4
18 сен 2026Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No531¢против+$2 394#1#2#3#4#5
18 сен 2026US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes561¢на стороне+$1 044#1#2#3#4#5
18 сен 2026US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No341¢против+$407#1#2#3
17 сен 2026Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes357¢на стороне+$134#1#2#3
17 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 16?No389¢на стороне+$113#1#2#3
17 сен 2026Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No329¢на стороне+$6 048#1#2#3
16 сен 2026Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes1570¢на стороне+$271 308#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9#10#11#12#13#14#15
16 сен 2026Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No1027¢против+$3 029#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9#10
16 сен 2026Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes1249¢против−$73 313#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9#10#11#12
16 сен 2026Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No1078¢на стороне+$58 183#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9#10
16 сен 2026Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes71¢против−$33 871#1#2#3#4#5#6#7
16 сен 2026Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No899¢на стороне+$28 830#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8
16 сен 2026Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No499¢на стороне+$270#1#2#3#4
16 сен 2026Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No999¢на стороне+$40 645#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9
16 сен 2026Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes571¢на стороне+$3 186#1#2#3#4#5
16 сен 2026Fed rate hike in 2026?No337¢против+$1 222#1#2#3
16 сен 2026Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?Yes318¢против−$1 218#1#2#3
16 сен 2026Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No399¢на стороне+$381#1#2#3
15 сен 2026US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes490¢на стороне+$959#1#2#3#4
15 сен 2026US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes379¢на стороне+$346#1#2#3
15 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 15?No392¢на стороне+$17#1#2#3
15 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 14?No390¢на стороне+$20#1#2#3
15 сен 2026US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes34¢против−$43#1#2#3
15 сен 2026US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No694¢на стороне+$245#1#2#3#4#5#6
14 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 14?Yes364¢на стороне+$89#1#2#3
7 сен 202641 · 31 на стороне · 10 против · +$28 296
РазрешёнРынокСторонаДержалиВход когортыИтогРеализованный P&LКошельки
13 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 13?No393¢на стороне+$43#1#2#3
12 сен 2026Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No344¢на стороне+$2 001#1#2#3
12 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 12?No398¢на стороне+$20#1#2#3
11 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 11?Yes315¢против−$30#1#2#3
10 сен 2026LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No367¢на стороне+$813#1#2#3
10 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 10?No315¢против−$26#1#2#3
10 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10?No387¢на стороне+$97#1#2#3
10 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 10?Yes325¢против+$1#1#2#3
10 сен 2026Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?Yes388¢на стороне+$16#1#2#3
10 сен 2026Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?No312¢против+$60#1#2#3
9 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 9?Yes339¢на стороне+$124#1#2#3
9 сен 2026Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 9?No392¢на стороне+$30#1#2#3
9 сен 2026Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No1194¢на стороне+$25 076#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9#10#11
9 сен 2026Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No794¢на стороне−$1 642#1#2#3#4#5#6#7
9 сен 2026Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes371¢против−$14 156#1#2#3
9 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 8?No395¢на стороне+$19#1#2#3
8 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 8?No369¢на стороне+$107#1#2#3
8 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 8?No393¢на стороне+$23#1#2#3
8 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on September 8?No387¢на стороне+$36#1#2#3
8 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 8?No383¢на стороне+$187#1#2#3
8 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 8?No397¢на стороне+$19#1#2#3
8 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 8?No376¢на стороне+$45#1#2#3
8 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 8?No38¢против−$143#1#2#3
8 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or below on September 8?No395¢на стороне+$8#1#2#3
8 сен 2026US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes37¢против−$1 021#1#2#3
8 сен 2026US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No596¢на стороне+$5 500#1#2#3#4#5
7 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 7?No383¢на стороне+$272#1#2#3
7 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 7?No379¢на стороне+$330#1#2#3
7 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 7?No396¢на стороне+$3#1#2#3
7 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 7?No392¢на стороне+$98#1#2#3
7 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on September 7?No399¢на стороне+$2#1#2#3
7 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 7?No399¢на стороне+$43#1#2#3
7 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 7?Yes310¢против−$8#1#2#3
7 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 7?No483¢на стороне−$438#1#2#3#4
7 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 7?Yes38¢против−$26#1#2#3
7 сен 2026Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No372¢на стороне+$6 381#1#2#3
7 сен 2026Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes422¢против−$1 619#1#2#3#4
7 сен 2026Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No679¢на стороне+$5 971#1#2#3#4#5#6
7 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on September 6?No397¢на стороне+$14#1#2#3
7 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 6?No382¢на стороне+$54#1#2#3
7 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 6?No397¢на стороне+$9#1#2#3
31 авг 2026106 · 89 на стороне · 17 против · +$92 943
РазрешёнРынокСторонаДержалиВход когортыИтогРеализованный P&LКошельки
6 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 6?No392¢на стороне+$58#1#2#3
6 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 6?No492¢на стороне+$131#1#2#3#4
6 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 6?No368¢на стороне+$59#1#2#3
6 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?No386¢против+$80#1#2#3
6 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 6?No395¢на стороне+$55#1#2#3
6 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 6?Yes335¢на стороне+$41#1#2#3
6 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 5?No389¢на стороне+$45#1#2#3
6 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 5?No394¢на стороне+$74#1#2#3
6 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 5?No397¢на стороне+$8#1#2#3
6 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 5?No498¢на стороне+$61#1#2#3#4
6 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 5?No398¢на стороне+$23#1#2#3
5 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 5?No397¢на стороне+$14#1#2#3
5 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 5?No399¢на стороне+$5#1#2#3
5 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 5?No397¢на стороне+$15#1#2#3
5 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 5?No393¢на стороне+$18#1#2#3
5 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 5?No395¢на стороне+$45#1#2#3
5 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 5?No388¢на стороне+$70#1#2#3
4 сен 2026Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes581¢на стороне+$2 148#1#2#3#4#5
4 сен 2026Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No536¢против−$193#1#2#3#4#5
4 сен 2026Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?Yes396¢на стороне+$111#1#2#3
4 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 4?No389¢на стороне+$34#1#2#3
4 сен 2026Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes370¢на стороне+$5 437#1#2#3
4 сен 2026Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No342¢против−$13 530#1#2#3
4 сен 2026Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes449¢на стороне+$2 360#1#2#3#4
4 сен 2026Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes489¢на стороне+$2 690#1#2#3#4
4 сен 2026Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes389¢на стороне+$731#1#2#3
4 сен 2026Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes684¢на стороне+$1 736#1#2#3#4#5#6
4 сен 2026Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes376¢на стороне+$5 897#1#2#3
4 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 4?No392¢на стороне+$77#1#2#3
4 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 4?No388¢на стороне+$58#1#2#3
4 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 4?No394¢на стороне+$28#1#2#3
4 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 4?No375¢на стороне+$163#1#2#3
4 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 4?No393¢на стороне+$71#1#2#3
4 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 4?No398¢на стороне+$6#1#2#3
4 сен 2026Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?No497¢на стороне+$523#1#2#3#4
4 сен 2026Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes395¢против−$25 186#1#2#3
3 сен 2026Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes769¢на стороне+$15 635#1#2#3#4#5#6#7
3 сен 2026Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No430¢против+$3 722#1#2#3#4
3 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 3?No396¢на стороне+$51#1#2#3
3 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 3?No394¢на стороне+$56#1#2#3
3 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 3?Yes33¢против−$7#1#2#3
3 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 3?No391¢на стороне+$119#1#2#3
3 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 3?No397¢на стороне+$74#1#2#3
3 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?Yes331¢на стороне+$339#1#2#3
3 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?No484¢против−$402#1#2#3#4
3 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 3?No396¢на стороне−$3#1#2#3
3 сен 2026Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No398¢на стороне+$964#1#2#3
3 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 2?No396¢на стороне+$31#1#2#3
2 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 2?No397¢на стороне+$55#1#2#3
2 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 2?No396¢на стороне+$22#1#2#3
2 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 2?No396¢на стороне+$29#1#2#3
2 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 2?No398¢на стороне+$38#1#2#3
2 сен 2026Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?Yes388¢на стороне+$4 022#1#2#3
2 сен 2026Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?No395¢на стороне+$318#1#2#3
2 сен 2026Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes398¢на стороне+$174#1#2#3
2 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 1?No399¢на стороне+$5#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 1?No386¢на стороне+$63#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on September 1?No399¢на стороне+$3#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 1?No367¢на стороне+$137#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on September 1?No393¢на стороне+$6#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on September 1?No394¢на стороне+$36#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Next Mythos-Class Model released by October 31, 2026?Yes398¢на стороне+$97#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes484¢на стороне+$1 237#1#2#3#4
1 сен 2026Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Yes392¢на стороне+$966#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Yes384¢на стороне+$1 353#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 1?No366¢на стороне+$105#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 1?No466¢на стороне+$104#1#2#3#4
1 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 1?Yes336¢против−$18#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 1?No492¢на стороне+$31#1#2#3#4
1 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 1?Yes318¢на стороне+$230#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 1?No393¢на стороне+$21#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?No397¢на стороне+$902#1#2#3
1 сен 2026NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes536¢против−$1 619#1#2#3#4#5
1 сен 2026NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No588¢на стороне+$15 522#1#2#3#4#5
1 сен 2026Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes329¢против+$493#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No493¢на стороне+$1 060#1#2#3#4
1 сен 2026US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No3100¢на стороне+$17#1#2#3
1 сен 2026US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No398¢на стороне+$102#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No399¢на стороне+$197#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes333¢против+$467#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No691¢на стороне−$107#1#2#3#4#5#6
1 сен 2026Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?No379¢на стороне+$1 062#1#2#3
1 сен 2026US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes313¢против+$467#1#2#3
1 сен 2026US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No995¢на стороне+$8 537#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9
1 сен 2026Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes36¢против+$6 446#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No996¢на стороне+$2 571#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9
1 сен 2026Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No599¢на стороне+$268#1#2#3#4#5
1 сен 2026Iran leadership change by August 31?No598¢на стороне+$248#1#2#3#4#5
1 сен 2026US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes442¢против+$809#1#2#3#4
1 сен 2026US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No482¢на стороне+$753#1#2#3#4
1 сен 2026Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes336¢против+$59#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No882¢на стороне+$6 020#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8
1 сен 2026Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No496¢на стороне+$738#1#2#3#4
1 сен 2026Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes330¢против−$1 699#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No480¢на стороне+$274#1#2#3#4
1 сен 2026US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes437¢против+$6 245#1#2#3#4
1 сен 2026US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No1091¢на стороне+$11 198#1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8#9#10
1 сен 2026Trump out as President by August 31?No399¢на стороне+$1 431#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No380¢на стороне+$1 463#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No537¢на стороне+$10 623#1#2#3#4#5
1 сен 2026Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?No397¢на стороне+$1 476#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No392¢на стороне+$1 601#1#2#3
1 сен 2026Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No497¢на стороне+$669#1#2#3#4
31 авг 2026Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes392¢на стороне+$971#1#2#3
31 авг 2026Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 31?No378¢на стороне+$57#1#2#3
31 авг 2026Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 30?No391¢на стороне+$44#1#2#3

Как собрана таблица

  1. 1 · Когорта

    43 кошельков, отслеживаемых в аккаунтах Cohven, без кошельков, отмеченных как собственные. Кошельки отбираются по публичному проверяемому P&L.

  2. 2 · Консенсус

    Сторона рынка засчитывается, когда её купили минимум 3 разных кошелька когорты. Это тот же кворум, которым продукт строит взгляд когорты.

  3. 3 · Разрешение

    Только рынки, которые Polymarket разрешил. На стороне значит разрешившийся исход это сторона когорты; рынок, разрешившийся против, может показывать плюс, если кошельки продали до разрешения.

  4. 4 · P&L

    Реализованный P&L каждого кошелька из его сделок, merge и redemption, просуммированный по держащим кошелькам. Без нереализованных позиций и переоценки по рынку.

  5. 5 · Обновление

    Таблица пересобирается из базы, восстановленной из блокчейна, и публикуется вместе с сайтом. Время генерации внизу.

Они уже в позиции. Посмотрите где, бесплатно.

Начать бесплатно · без карты

Исторические результаты отслеживаемых кошельков. Прошлые результаты не гарантируют будущих. Cohven отображает публичные данные и расчёты на их основе и не является инвестиционной рекомендацией. Cohven это независимый инструмент для Polymarket. Не аффилирован с Polymarket, не одобрен и не спонсируется им.

Сгенерировано 22 окт 2026, 20:40 CEST