Cohven

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? Polymarket Whale Tracker: Cohort Entry, Holders and Result

As of Oct 10, 2025, 5 of 43 tracked Polymarket wallets tracked by Cohven held a side in “Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?”, one of the markets inside Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by..?, with $10,558 of notional over 93 fills. The market resolved Yes on Oct 13, 2025, and the cohort booked −$2,326 in verified P&L on it.

Updated Oct 10, 2025

Wallets on this market
5 / 43
Notional committed
$10,558
Realised P&L
−$2,326
Last book price
Yes 100¢ · No 0¢

Where the cohort filled, day by day

Every dot is one day of cohort trading on a side of this market, priced at the volume-weighted average of the fills for the day and sized by share volume. The dotted line only joins the dots.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? No 2025-10-04 66¢ 10Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? No 2025-10-05 63¢ 2Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? No 2025-10-07 67¢ 16Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? No 2025-10-08 30¢ 4Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? No 2025-10-09 9¢ 12Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? No 2025-10-10 7¢ 3AGAINSTWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? Yes 2025-10-04 34¢ 5Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? Yes 2025-10-05 38¢ 16Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? Yes 2025-10-06 41¢ 2Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? Yes 2025-10-07 30¢ 2Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? Yes 2025-10-08 60¢ 21ON SIDE

Each side of the market

Holders counts the tracked wallets standing on that side. Entry is the cost-weighted average price they paid.

SideHoldersAverage entryNotionalRealisedResolution
No3 / 4357¢$8,001−$3,180against
Yes4 / 4346¢$2,557+$854on side

Wallets on this market

Every tracked wallet on this market with its side, entry and result. Each row opens the wallet profile and its trades in the whole event.

WalletSideAverage entryNotionalRealised
Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8No60¢$6,899−$3,125Trades in this event
paddaa0x60a9…5a71Yes44¢$1,534+$191Trades in this event
pup10x54b5…4b31No38¢$752−$10Trades in this event
tja0xe1b3…1426Yes73¢$452+$171Trades in this event
Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8No70¢$350−$45Trades in this event
The whole event, every market the cohort heldOpen this market on Polymarket ↗Conflict and diplomacy

Questions traders ask

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What is the difference between a market and an event on Polymarket?

An event groups the markets about one question, for example every candidate in an election. A market is one of them with its own YES and NO sides. Cohven shows the cohort on both levels: this page is the market, the event page adds the other markets.

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Why does the cohort entry differ from the current price?

The tracked wallets bought earlier, often when the outcome was priced lower. The gap between their average entry and the book price is what a late follower would pay for the same position.

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Can I see which wallet bought first?

Yes. Every wallet in the table opens its trades in this event day by day, and the fills chart marks how many wallets were active on each day.

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Is this a recommendation?

No. Cohven shows what verified tracked wallets hold and what they paid. Whether to follow, and at what size, is a decision the application helps you size to your own account.

See the cohort live

The cohort trades every day. Open the tracker to watch consensus form, read the Gap against your own portfolio and size each position to your account.

Show me the cohort

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Positions come from public on-chain activity of the tracked addresses. Nothing on this page is financial advice.