Cohven

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? Polymarket Whale Tracker: Cohort Entry, Holders and Result

As of Mar 4, 2026, 4 of 43 tracked Polymarket wallets tracked by Cohven held a side in “Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?”, one of the markets inside Who Will Trump Nominate as Fed Chair, with $45,857 of notional over 752 fills. The market resolved No on Mar 4, 2026, and the cohort booked −$12,986 in verified P&L on it.

Updated Mar 4, 2026

Wallets on this market
4 / 43
Notional committed
$45,857
Realised P&L
−$12,986
Last book price
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Where the cohort filled, day by day

Every dot is one day of cohort trading on a side of this market, priced at the volume-weighted average of the fills for the day and sized by share volume. The dotted line only joins the dots.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Oct, 2025Nov, 2025Dec, 2025Jan, 2026Feb, 2026Mar, 2026Stephen Miran No 2025-09-17 89¢ 3Stephen Miran No 2025-09-18 82¢ 2Stephen Miran No 2025-12-19 100¢ 1Stephen Miran No 2026-01-30 100¢ 1Stephen Miran No 2026-03-04 100¢ 1ON SIDEStephen Miran Yes 2025-12-01 1¢ 12Stephen Miran Yes 2025-12-02 0¢ 1Stephen Miran Yes 2025-12-14 0¢ 2Stephen Miran Yes 2025-12-15 0¢ 20Stephen Miran Yes 2025-12-18 0¢ 1Stephen Miran Yes 2025-12-30 1¢ 57Stephen Miran Yes 2025-12-31 1¢ 1Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-01 1¢ 1Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-02 1¢ 2Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-03 1¢ 6Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-07 0¢ 2Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-11 1¢ 3Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-12 0¢ 12Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-13 1¢ 1Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-14 1¢ 1Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-15 2¢ 6Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-16 1¢ 16Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-17 0¢ 67Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-18 1¢ 101Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-19 0¢ 70Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-21 1¢ 1Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-22 1¢ 2Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-24 0¢ 75Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-25 0¢ 51Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-26 0¢ 125Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-27 1¢ 5Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-28 1¢ 10Stephen Miran Yes 2026-01-29 2¢ 16Stephen Miran Yes 2026-02-03 0¢ 2Stephen Miran Yes 2026-02-05 0¢ 14Stephen Miran Yes 2026-02-08 0¢ 3Stephen Miran Yes 2026-02-14 0¢ 1Stephen Miran Yes 2026-02-17 0¢ 13Stephen Miran Yes 2026-02-19 0¢ 2Stephen Miran Yes 2026-02-24 0¢ 5Stephen Miran Yes 2026-02-25 0¢ 21Stephen Miran Yes 2026-03-04 1¢ 16AGAINST

Each side of the market

Holders counts the tracked wallets standing on that side. Entry is the cost-weighted average price they paid.

SideHoldersAverage entryNotionalRealisedResolution
No2 / 4399¢$45,491+$107on side
Yes2 / 430¢$366−$13,093against

Wallets on this market

Every tracked wallet on this market with its side, entry and result. Each row opens the wallet profile and its trades in the whole event.

WalletSideAverage entryNotionalRealised
ProfessionalPunter0x22e4…ef1cNo100¢$43,956+$0Trades in this event
pantomime0xd039…2532No86¢$1,535+$107Trades in this event
Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8Yes0¢$355−$13,083Trades in this event
tourists0xc6dd…4b9fYes0¢$10−$10Trades in this event
The whole event, every market the cohort heldOpen this market on Polymarket ↗Economy and the Fed

Questions traders ask

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What is the difference between a market and an event on Polymarket?

An event groups the markets about one question, for example every candidate in an election. A market is one of them with its own YES and NO sides. Cohven shows the cohort on both levels: this page is the market, the event page adds the other markets.

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Why does the cohort entry differ from the current price?

The tracked wallets bought earlier, often when the outcome was priced lower. The gap between their average entry and the book price is what a late follower would pay for the same position.

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Can I see which wallet bought first?

Yes. Every wallet in the table opens its trades in this event day by day, and the fills chart marks how many wallets were active on each day.

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Is this a recommendation?

No. Cohven shows what verified tracked wallets hold and what they paid. Whether to follow, and at what size, is a decision the application helps you size to your own account.

See the cohort live

The cohort trades every day. Open the tracker to watch consensus form, read the Gap against your own portfolio and size each position to your account.

Show me the cohort

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Positions come from public on-chain activity of the tracked addresses. Nothing on this page is financial advice.