Cohven

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Polymarket Whale Tracker: Cohort Entry, Holders and Result

As of Oct 9, 2026, 6 of 43 tracked Polymarket wallets tracked by Cohven held a side in “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?”, one of the markets inside Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by..?, with $63,698 of notional over 168 fills. The market is still open, so every number below is a position, not a result.

Updated Oct 9, 2026

Wallets on this market
6 / 43
Notional committed
$63,698
Realised P&L
+$NaN
Last book price
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢

Where the cohort filled, day by day

Every dot is one day of cohort trading on a side of this market, priced at the volume-weighted average of the fills for the day and sized by share volume. The dotted line only joins the dots.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sep, 2026Oct, 2026Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-08-23 87¢ 1Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-08-27 87¢ 2Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-09-03 89¢ 1Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-09-05 88¢ 1Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-09-09 90¢ 2Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-09-10 84¢ 15Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-09-12 84¢ 4Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-09-13 84¢ 2Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-09-19 85¢ 3Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-09-20 86¢ 2Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-09-21 88¢ 1Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-09-24 91¢ 1Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-09-28 91¢ 5Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-09-29 91¢ 25Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-10-01 93¢ 11Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-10-02 92¢ 23Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-10-03 92¢ 1Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-10-04 93¢ 33Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-10-05 94¢ 23Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No 2026-10-06 95¢ 3AGAINSTBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes 2026-09-20 14¢ 6Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes 2026-09-21 12¢ 1Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes 2026-10-02 8¢ 1Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes 2026-10-09 6¢ 1AGAINST

Each side of the market

Holders counts the tracked wallets standing on that side. Entry is the cost-weighted average price they paid.

SideHoldersAverage entryNotionalRealisedResolution
No5 / 4392¢$63,080+$NaNagainst
Yes2 / 4310¢$618+$NaNagainst

Wallets on this market

Every tracked wallet on this market with its side, entry and result. Each row opens the wallet profile and its trades in the whole event.

WalletSideAverage entryNotionalRealised
thoodr0x3eae…e2edNo93¢$21,624+$NaNTrades in this event
Jest550xd34b…0004No92¢$20,032+$NaNTrades in this event
Tigerofthehood0x9c26…74bcNo91¢$18,382+$NaNTrades in this event
Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8No88¢$2,301+$NaNTrades in this event
paddaa0x60a9…5a71No85¢$742−$2Trades in this event
tja0xe1b3…1426Yes13¢$318+$NaNTrades in this event
The whole event, every market the cohort heldOpen this market on Polymarket ↗Everything else

Questions traders ask

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What is the difference between a market and an event on Polymarket?

An event groups the markets about one question, for example every candidate in an election. A market is one of them with its own YES and NO sides. Cohven shows the cohort on both levels: this page is the market, the event page adds the other markets.

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Why does the cohort entry differ from the current price?

The tracked wallets bought earlier, often when the outcome was priced lower. The gap between their average entry and the book price is what a late follower would pay for the same position.

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Can I see which wallet bought first?

Yes. Every wallet in the table opens its trades in this event day by day, and the fills chart marks how many wallets were active on each day.

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Is this a recommendation?

No. Cohven shows what verified tracked wallets hold and what they paid. Whether to follow, and at what size, is a decision the application helps you size to your own account.

See the cohort live

The cohort trades every day. Open the tracker to watch consensus form, read the Gap against your own portfolio and size each position to your account.

Show me the cohort

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Positions come from public on-chain activity of the tracked addresses. Nothing on this page is financial advice.